Iraq sits as the clear frontrunner to finish last in Group I after heavy opening losses that left it with zero points and the group’s worst goal difference. The side fell 1-4 to Norway and faces France next, a matchup that further cements its position at the bottom of the standings. Senegal, despite its own defeat to France, holds a stronger recent form and head-to-head edge against Iraq in the final matchday fixture, reducing the likelihood it joins Iraq on zero points. Norway and France have already secured victories and sit atop the table, making any finish lower than second improbable for either. Trader pricing reflects these results and remaining schedule dynamics, with Iraq viewed as the team most likely to end the group stage without a win.