Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Spain at 17.2% and France at 16.4% as narrow co-favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their dominant UEFA qualifier campaigns—Spain topping their group unbeaten and France advancing with flair from Mbappé—bolstered by Euro 2024 triumphs, while the expanded 48-team format with 32 group stage advancement spots amplifies chaos and upset risks. England's 11.1% and Argentina's 8.8% trail closely due to squad depth and defending champion pedigree, but Brazil's odds dipped to 8.5% post-Rodrygo's ACL injury, and historical knockout vulnerabilities keep the top five tightly contested amid favorable post-draw group paths and no clear group of death for elites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 17.1%
Francia 16.4%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.8%
$659,924,128 Vol.
$659,924,128 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Portogallo
7%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
3%
Norvegia
2%
Giappone
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Marocco
2%
Stati Uniti
1%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Turchia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canada
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Panama
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Spagna 17.1%
Francia 16.4%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.8%
$659,924,128 Vol.
$659,924,128 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
$13,591,678 Vol.
17%
Francia
$13,465,449 Vol.
16%
Inghilterra
$11,492,662 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$12,049,983 Vol.
9%
Brasile
$11,713,639 Vol.
8%
Portogallo
$12,863,351 Vol.
7%
Germania
$10,747,570 Vol.
5%
Paesi Bassi
$13,610,915 Vol.
3%
Norvegia
$11,988,877 Vol.
2%
Giappone
$14,711,662 Vol.
2%
Belgio
$11,693,072 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$10,864,726 Vol.
2%
Marocco
$13,260,650 Vol.
2%
Stati Uniti
$11,417,150 Vol.
1%
Messico
$12,576,915 Vol.
1%
Svizzera
$12,389,493 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$12,149,440 Vol.
1%
Croazia
$10,925,077 Vol.
1%
Turchia
$4,545,550 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$14,274,124 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$12,269,320 Vol.
1%
Canada
$14,764,925 Vol.
1%
Austria
$13,500,058 Vol.
1%
Svezia
$4,444,546 Vol.
1%
Paraguay
$15,191,424 Vol.
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
$12,607,118 Vol.
<1%
Corea del Sud
$17,938,865 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
$4,320,192 Vol.
<1%
Scozia
$15,314,394 Vol.
<1%
Cezchia
$2,763,520 Vol.
<1%
Egitto
$15,169,854 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$14,317,566 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$13,769,638 Vol.
<1%
Algeria
$14,706,380 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$14,337,067 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$3,928,754 Vol.
<1%
Sudafrica
$22,687,448 Vol.
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
$9,663,370 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$12,559,786 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$21,111,496 Vol.
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
$22,593,223 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$15,338,877 Vol.
<1%
Giordania
$19,349,879 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$29,136,064 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$32,104,362 Vol.
<1%
Iraq
$4,274,093 Vol.
<1%
Capo Verde
$15,809,682 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$16,732,218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Spain at 17.2% and France at 16.4% as narrow co-favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their dominant UEFA qualifier campaigns—Spain topping their group unbeaten and France advancing with flair from Mbappé—bolstered by Euro 2024 triumphs, while the expanded 48-team format with 32 group stage advancement spots amplifies chaos and upset risks. England's 11.1% and Argentina's 8.8% trail closely due to squad depth and defending champion pedigree, but Brazil's odds dipped to 8.5% post-Rodrygo's ACL injury, and historical knockout vulnerabilities keep the top five tightly contested amid favorable post-draw group paths and no clear group of death for elites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$659,924,128Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Spain at 17.2% and France at 16.4% as narrow co-favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their dominant UEFA qualifier campaigns—Spain topping their group unbeaten and France advancing with flair from Mbappé—bolstered by Euro 2024 triumphs, while the expanded 48-team format with 32 group stage advancement spots amplifies chaos and upset risks. England's 11.1% and Argentina's 8.8% trail closely due to squad depth and defending champion pedigree, but Brazil's odds dipped to 8.5% post-Rodrygo's ACL injury, and historical knockout vulnerabilities keep the top five tightly contested amid favorable post-draw group paths and no clear group of death for elites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$659,924,128Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Spain at 17.2% and France at 16.4% as narrow co-favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their dominant UEFA qualifier campaigns—Spain topping their group unbeaten and France advancing with flair from Mbappé—bolstered by Euro 2024 triumphs, while the expanded 48-team format with 32 group stage advancement spots amplifies chaos and upset risks. England's 11.1% and Argentina's 8.8% trail closely due to squad depth and defending champion pedigree, but Brazil's odds dipped to 8.5% post-Rodrygo's ACL injury, and historical knockout vulnerabilities keep the top five tightly contested amid favorable post-draw group paths and no clear group of death for elites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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