Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth of elite qualifiers including top-ranked Spain—who dominated UEFA qualifiers and topped FIFA rankings—alongside France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, all showcasing strong form through group leaderships and playoff triumphs. South America's 21% reflects perennial powerhouses Argentina (defending champions) and Brazil securing CONMEBOL's six direct spots plus a playoff berth amid tight standings topped by Argentina and Ecuador. Qualification concluded March 31 with inter-confederation playoffs, affirming Europe's superior talent pool and recent successes like Spain's flawless campaign, while Africa, Asia, North America (despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania trail due to historical barriers and fewer top contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale continente vincerà la Coppa del Mondo FIFA 2026?
Quale continente vincerà la Coppa del Mondo FIFA 2026?
Europa 73%
Sud America 21%
Africa 2.9%
Nord America 2.6%
$1,577,863 Vol.
$1,577,863 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sud America
21%
Africa
3%
Nord America
3%
Asia
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 73%
Sud America 21%
Africa 2.9%
Nord America 2.6%
$1,577,863 Vol.
$1,577,863 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sud America
21%
Africa
3%
Nord America
3%
Asia
2%
Oceania
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth of elite qualifiers including top-ranked Spain—who dominated UEFA qualifiers and topped FIFA rankings—alongside France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, all showcasing strong form through group leaderships and playoff triumphs. South America's 21% reflects perennial powerhouses Argentina (defending champions) and Brazil securing CONMEBOL's six direct spots plus a playoff berth amid tight standings topped by Argentina and Ecuador. Qualification concluded March 31 with inter-confederation playoffs, affirming Europe's superior talent pool and recent successes like Spain's flawless campaign, while Africa, Asia, North America (despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania trail due to historical barriers and fewer top contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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