Kimi Antonelli's substantial points lead in the 2026 drivers' championship, built on multiple early-season victories including a streak of four or five consecutive wins through Canada, drives his 59.5% implied probability as the frontrunner. Mercedes' competitive edge under the new power unit and aerodynamic regulations has enabled strong results for both Antonelli and teammate George Russell, whose 18.5% pricing reflects consistent podium contention but a gap to his teammate. Lewis Hamilton's 12.3% odds stem from solid Ferrari performances and recent results like the Barcelona win, though the team trails overall. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, and others reflect limited wins and larger deficits after the opening rounds, with the field still facing a long schedule including upcoming European races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 59.5%
George Russell 19%
Lewis Hamilton 12.3%
Charles Leclerc 2.6%
$173,941,691 Vol.
$173,941,691 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
60%
George Russell
19%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 59.5%
George Russell 19%
Lewis Hamilton 12.3%
Charles Leclerc 2.6%
$173,941,691 Vol.
$173,941,691 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
60%
George Russell
19%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's substantial points lead in the 2026 drivers' championship, built on multiple early-season victories including a streak of four or five consecutive wins through Canada, drives his 59.5% implied probability as the frontrunner. Mercedes' competitive edge under the new power unit and aerodynamic regulations has enabled strong results for both Antonelli and teammate George Russell, whose 18.5% pricing reflects consistent podium contention but a gap to his teammate. Lewis Hamilton's 12.3% odds stem from solid Ferrari performances and recent results like the Barcelona win, though the team trails overall. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, and others reflect limited wins and larger deficits after the opening rounds, with the field still facing a long schedule including upcoming European races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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