Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings with 156 points after multiple Grand Prix victories, including strong results in Miami, Canada, and Monaco, establishing a substantial gap over Mercedes teammate George Russell and Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton. The 19-year-old's consistent qualifying pace, race wins, and Mercedes' constructors' lead have driven the market consensus reflected in his 58.6% implied probability. Russell trails after setbacks including a Canadian retirement and recent qualifying struggles, while Hamilton's solid Ferrari performances position him as a challenger but with a points deficit. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and others align with their mid-pack standings and fewer podiums amid the season's mid-point compression.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 58.5%
George Russell 19%
Lewis Hamilton 13.9%
Max Verstappen 2.6%
$173,873,263 Vol.
$173,873,263 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
59%
George Russell
19%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Max Verstappen
3%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 58.5%
George Russell 19%
Lewis Hamilton 13.9%
Max Verstappen 2.6%
$173,873,263 Vol.
$173,873,263 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
59%
George Russell
19%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Max Verstappen
3%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings with 156 points after multiple Grand Prix victories, including strong results in Miami, Canada, and Monaco, establishing a substantial gap over Mercedes teammate George Russell and Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton. The 19-year-old's consistent qualifying pace, race wins, and Mercedes' constructors' lead have driven the market consensus reflected in his 58.6% implied probability. Russell trails after setbacks including a Canadian retirement and recent qualifying struggles, while Hamilton's solid Ferrari performances position him as a challenger but with a points deficit. Lower probabilities for Max Verstappen, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and others align with their mid-pack standings and fewer podiums amid the season's mid-point compression.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti