Harry Kane’s exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, featuring 61 goals across 51 appearances and domestic doubles including the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal, combined with six World Cup goals as England reached the semifinals, has established him as the clear market leader at 65.3% implied probability. Traders have responded to his third consecutive Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, and consistent scoring rate that outpaced peers, shifting focus from pre-tournament favorites. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.9% after another prolific Barcelona season and La Liga success, though Spain’s World Cup outcome tempered further gains. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and others trail due to comparatively limited trophy hauls or lower goal contributions in key competitions, with recent form and international results reinforcing the current hierarchy ahead of the October ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 65.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
Rodri 6%
$32,229,173 Vol.
$32,229,173 Vol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 65.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
Rodri 6%
$32,229,173 Vol.
$32,229,173 Vol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane’s exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, featuring 61 goals across 51 appearances and domestic doubles including the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal, combined with six World Cup goals as England reached the semifinals, has established him as the clear market leader at 65.3% implied probability. Traders have responded to his third consecutive Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, and consistent scoring rate that outpaced peers, shifting focus from pre-tournament favorites. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.9% after another prolific Barcelona season and La Liga success, though Spain’s World Cup outcome tempered further gains. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and others trail due to comparatively limited trophy hauls or lower goal contributions in key competitions, with recent form and international results reinforcing the current hierarchy ahead of the October ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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