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2nd richest person on December 31?

Market icon

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 56%

Jeff Bezos 21.8%

Elon Musk 17%

Jensen Huang 12.3%

Polymarket

$40,645 Vol.

Larry Page 56%

Jeff Bezos 21.8%

Elon Musk 17%

Jensen Huang 12.3%

Polymarket

$40,645 Vol.

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Page

$20,600 Vol.

45%

Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Jeff Bezos

$9,346 Vol.

31%

Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Elon Musk

$534 Vol.

14%

Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Jensen Huang

$583 Vol.

12%

Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Sergey Brin

$6,744 Vol.

23%

Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Bernard Arnault

$505 Vol.

14%

Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Warren Buffett

$1,103 Vol.

3%

Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Steve Ballmer

$454 Vol.

2%

Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Ellison

$509 Vol.

13%

Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31? icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$267 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the top trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for second-richest on December 31, anchored by his current #2 spot on Bloomberg's index with $284 billion net worth after a $9 billion daily surge on April 14 amid a broad tech rally fueled by AI optimism and market rebounds post-Iran ceasefire. Jeff Bezos trails at 31.3% ($268B, +$8.2B), buoyed by Amazon's cloud dominance, while Alphabet co-founder Sergey Brin sits at 22.5% ($264B) on parallel gains. Elon Musk's $638B fortress at #1 caps his 14% odds for slipping to second, as do Bernard Arnault and Jensen Huang's lower trajectories amid luxury headwinds and chip volatility; year-end earnings and AI breakthroughs loom as key swings.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$40,645
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the top trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for second-richest on December 31, anchored by his current #2 spot on Bloomberg's index with $284 billion net worth after a $9 billion daily surge on April 14 amid a broad tech rally fueled by AI optimism and market rebounds post-Iran ceasefire. Jeff Bezos trails at 31.3% ($268B, +$8.2B), buoyed by Amazon's cloud dominance, while Alphabet co-founder Sergey Brin sits at 22.5% ($264B) on parallel gains. Elon Musk's $638B fortress at #1 caps his 14% odds for slipping to second, as do Bernard Arnault and Jensen Huang's lower trajectories amid luxury headwinds and chip volatility; year-end earnings and AI breakthroughs loom as key swings.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$40,645
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Domande frequenti

"2nd richest person on December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Larry Page" a 46%, seguito da "Jeff Bezos" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "2nd richest person on December 31?" ha generato $40.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 30, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "2nd richest person on December 31?", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2nd richest person on December 31?" è "Larry Page" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jeff Bezos" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2nd richest person on December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.