SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June or July debut at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially raising $50-75 billion—following its February merger with xAI that integrated the AI firm's $250 billion valuation and advanced models into the aerospace giant. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22-24 billion projected for 2026 further bolsters the blockbuster scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger speculation but lacks standalone filing momentum, while Anthropic, OpenAI, and others trail below 4% absent comparable official announcements or timelines, underscoring SpaceX's unmatched momentum in the competitive tech IPO landscape. Traders eye roadshow details and market conditions as key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
La più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
Discord 1.5%
$1,707,351 Vol.
$1,707,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
3%
OpenAI
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Waymo
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
Discord 1.5%
$1,707,351 Vol.
$1,707,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
$209,740 Vol.
90%
Anthropic
$348,361 Vol.
3%
OpenAI
$303,546 Vol.
3%
Discord
$74,319 Vol.
2%
Databricks
$71,385 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$40,393 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$376,850 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$87,768 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$57,592 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,683 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$32,198 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$49,649 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June or July debut at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially raising $50-75 billion—following its February merger with xAI that integrated the AI firm's $250 billion valuation and advanced models into the aerospace giant. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22-24 billion projected for 2026 further bolsters the blockbuster scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger speculation but lacks standalone filing momentum, while Anthropic, OpenAI, and others trail below 4% absent comparable official announcements or timelines, underscoring SpaceX's unmatched momentum in the competitive tech IPO landscape. Traders eye roadshow details and market conditions as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,707,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June or July debut at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially raising $50-75 billion—following its February merger with xAI that integrated the AI firm's $250 billion valuation and advanced models into the aerospace giant. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22-24 billion projected for 2026 further bolsters the blockbuster scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger speculation but lacks standalone filing momentum, while Anthropic, OpenAI, and others trail below 4% absent comparable official announcements or timelines, underscoring SpaceX's unmatched momentum in the competitive tech IPO landscape. Traders eye roadshow details and market conditions as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,707,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June or July debut at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially raising $50-75 billion—following its February merger with xAI that integrated the AI firm's $250 billion valuation and advanced models into the aerospace giant. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22-24 billion projected for 2026 further bolsters the blockbuster scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger speculation but lacks standalone filing momentum, while Anthropic, OpenAI, and others trail below 4% absent comparable official announcements or timelines, underscoring SpaceX's unmatched momentum in the competitive tech IPO landscape. Traders eye roadshow details and market conditions as key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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