Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its implied probability reflecting expectations of a fall listing targeting roughly $2 trillion—surpassing SpaceX’s June debut at approximately $1.77 trillion. Recent revenue momentum, including a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, underpins the higher valuation target and supports discussions of Nvidia as a potential anchor investor for up to $10 billion. SpaceX’s realized raise of $75 billion established a high benchmark, yet Anthropic’s faster growth trajectory and pending S-1 timeline shift market-implied odds toward the AI firm. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic’s expected late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, which could finalize pricing and confirm whether its debut eclipses prior records amid strong institutional demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
La più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
Anthropic 57.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 3.0%
ByteDance <1%
$5,984,227 Vol.
$5,984,227 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Anthropic
58%
SpaceX
41%
OpenAI
3%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Discord
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Anthropic 57.9%
SpaceX 41%
OpenAI 3.0%
ByteDance <1%
$5,984,227 Vol.
$5,984,227 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Anthropic
$1,098,471 Vol.
58%
SpaceX
$878,066 Vol.
41%
OpenAI
$556,905 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$213,990 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,211 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,808 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$182,734 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$660,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its implied probability reflecting expectations of a fall listing targeting roughly $2 trillion—surpassing SpaceX’s June debut at approximately $1.77 trillion. Recent revenue momentum, including a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, underpins the higher valuation target and supports discussions of Nvidia as a potential anchor investor for up to $10 billion. SpaceX’s realized raise of $75 billion established a high benchmark, yet Anthropic’s faster growth trajectory and pending S-1 timeline shift market-implied odds toward the AI firm. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic’s expected late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, which could finalize pricing and confirm whether its debut eclipses prior records amid strong institutional demand.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$5,984,227Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its implied probability reflecting expectations of a fall listing targeting roughly $2 trillion—surpassing SpaceX’s June debut at approximately $1.77 trillion. Recent revenue momentum, including a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, underpins the higher valuation target and supports discussions of Nvidia as a potential anchor investor for up to $10 billion. SpaceX’s realized raise of $75 billion established a high benchmark, yet Anthropic’s faster growth trajectory and pending S-1 timeline shift market-implied odds toward the AI firm. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic’s expected late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, which could finalize pricing and confirm whether its debut eclipses prior records amid strong institutional demand.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$5,984,227Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its implied probability reflecting expectations of a fall listing targeting roughly $2 trillion—surpassing SpaceX’s June debut at approximately $1.77 trillion. Recent revenue momentum, including a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, underpins the higher valuation target and supports discussions of Nvidia as a potential anchor investor for up to $10 billion. SpaceX’s realized raise of $75 billion established a high benchmark, yet Anthropic’s faster growth trajectory and pending S-1 timeline shift market-implied odds toward the AI firm. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic’s expected late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, which could finalize pricing and confirm whether its debut eclipses prior records amid strong institutional demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti