Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a dominant 1549 Elo in coding as of early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an implied 78% probability it retains the top spot by May 31 via sustained excellence in agentic workflows and complex reasoning benchmarks. Frequent updates, including deprecation of prior Claude 4 variants for the superior 4.6 series on April 14, underscore Anthropic's rapid iteration edge over rivals. Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and open Gemma 4 releases (April 2) bolster its 17% odds through multimodal gains, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags at 4% amid weaker scores. Watch for pre-May announcements from Google I/O echoes or OpenAI's next frontier model to challenge the hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di maggio?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di maggio?
Anthropic 79%
Google 17%
OpenAI 4%
xAI 2.5%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

17%

OpenAI
4%

xAI
2%

Meituan
2%

Amazon
1%

DeepSeek
1%

ByteDance
1%

Meta
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 79%
Google 17%
OpenAI 4%
xAI 2.5%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

17%

OpenAI
4%

xAI
2%

Meituan
2%

Amazon
1%

DeepSeek
1%

ByteDance
1%

Meta
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a dominant 1549 Elo in coding as of early April 2026, driving trader consensus to an implied 78% probability it retains the top spot by May 31 via sustained excellence in agentic workflows and complex reasoning benchmarks. Frequent updates, including deprecation of prior Claude 4 variants for the superior 4.6 series on April 14, underscore Anthropic's rapid iteration edge over rivals. Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and open Gemma 4 releases (April 2) bolster its 17% odds through multimodal gains, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags at 4% amid weaker scores. Watch for pre-May announcements from Google I/O echoes or OpenAI's next frontier model to challenge the hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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