Skip to main content
Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?

apr 30

apr 30

23 aprile 68%

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 aprile 14.6%

30 aprile 7.5%

22 aprile 3.6%

Polymarket

$96,163 Vol.

23 aprile 68%

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 aprile 14.6%

30 aprile 7.5%

22 aprile 3.6%

Polymarket

$96,163 Vol.

16 aprile

$45,127 Vol.

1%

17 aprile

$2,051 Vol.

1%

18 aprile

$1,782 Vol.

<1%

19 aprile

$1,917 Vol.

1%

20 aprile

$1,322 Vol.

3%

21 aprile

$1,742 Vol.

<1%

22 aprile

$2,282 Vol.

4%

23 aprile

$19,159 Vol.

68%

24 aprile

$323 Vol.

<1%

25 aprile

$185 Vol.

<1%

26 aprile

$1,400 Vol.

2%

27 aprile

$1,041 Vol.

<1%

28 aprile

$1,413 Vol.

1%

29 aprile

$1,455 Vol.

<1%

30 aprile

$2,830 Vol.

7%

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 aprile

$4,951 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 67.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from insiders claiming "reliable sources" point to that date amid building positions in the market. Pretraining for the codenamed "Spud" wrapped on March 24, 2026, with Sam Altman teasing a "very strong model" just weeks ago, fueling expectations for a post-April 16 rollout after earlier April 14-16 rumors fizzled. Heightened competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 surfacing in quotas today has traders anticipating a swift OpenAI counter, though "No release by April 30" holds 14.5% as delays remain common in AI model deployments. Watch for official announcements this week, as benchmark convergence and enterprise coding demands intensify scrutiny on capabilities.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$96,163
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 67.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from insiders claiming "reliable sources" point to that date amid building positions in the market. Pretraining for the codenamed "Spud" wrapped on March 24, 2026, with Sam Altman teasing a "very strong model" just weeks ago, fueling expectations for a post-April 16 rollout after earlier April 14-16 rumors fizzled. Heightened competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 surfacing in quotas today has traders anticipating a swift OpenAI counter, though "No release by April 30" holds 14.5% as delays remain common in AI model deployments. Watch for official announcements this week, as benchmark convergence and enterprise coding demands intensify scrutiny on capabilities.

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$96,163
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 24 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "23 aprile" a 68%, seguito da "Nessun rilascio entro il 30 aprile" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 68¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?" ha generato $96.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?", esplora i 24 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?" è "23 aprile" a 68%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun rilascio entro il 30 aprile" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "GPT-5.5 rilasciato il...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.