Anthropic’s rapid progress toward a September or October 2026 IPO underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June after a $65 billion Series H round that valued it at $965 billion, with bankers now discussing raises exceeding $100 billion and valuations of $1.5–2 trillion based on a $65 billion annualized revenue run rate and 2028 projections near $200 billion. Strong investor demand for frontier large language model developers, ahead of rival OpenAI, has reinforced this positioning. Realistic challenges include market volatility delaying the listing, weaker-than-expected disclosures, or shifts in AI capital allocation that compress multiples at debut.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato600Mrd+ 95.3%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.2%
400–600 miliardi 1.1%
<100 miliardi <1%
$425,810 Vol.
$425,810 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
1%
600Mrd+
95%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
2%
600Mrd+ 95.3%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.2%
400–600 miliardi 1.1%
<100 miliardi <1%
$425,810 Vol.
$425,810 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
$157,115 Vol.
<1%
100–200 miliardi
$75,272 Vol.
<1%
200–300 miliardi
$19,772 Vol.
<1%
300–400 miliardi
$70,410 Vol.
<1%
400–600 miliardi
$22,213 Vol.
1%
600Mrd+
$47,249 Vol.
95%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$33,780 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid progress toward a September or October 2026 IPO underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June after a $65 billion Series H round that valued it at $965 billion, with bankers now discussing raises exceeding $100 billion and valuations of $1.5–2 trillion based on a $65 billion annualized revenue run rate and 2028 projections near $200 billion. Strong investor demand for frontier large language model developers, ahead of rival OpenAI, has reinforced this positioning. Realistic challenges include market volatility delaying the listing, weaker-than-expected disclosures, or shifts in AI capital allocation that compress multiples at debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$425,810Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid progress toward a September or October 2026 IPO underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June after a $65 billion Series H round that valued it at $965 billion, with bankers now discussing raises exceeding $100 billion and valuations of $1.5–2 trillion based on a $65 billion annualized revenue run rate and 2028 projections near $200 billion. Strong investor demand for frontier large language model developers, ahead of rival OpenAI, has reinforced this positioning. Realistic challenges include market volatility delaying the listing, weaker-than-expected disclosures, or shifts in AI capital allocation that compress multiples at debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$425,810Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s rapid progress toward a September or October 2026 IPO underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June after a $65 billion Series H round that valued it at $965 billion, with bankers now discussing raises exceeding $100 billion and valuations of $1.5–2 trillion based on a $65 billion annualized revenue run rate and 2028 projections near $200 billion. Strong investor demand for frontier large language model developers, ahead of rival OpenAI, has reinforced this positioning. Realistic challenges include market volatility delaying the listing, weaker-than-expected disclosures, or shifts in AI capital allocation that compress multiples at debut.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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