Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica
600Mrd+ 78%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 19%
400–600 miliardi 3.0%
300–400 miliardi 1.1%
$184,993 Vol.
$184,993 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
1%
400–600 miliardi
3%
600Mrd+
78%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
19%
600Mrd+ 78%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 19%
400–600 miliardi 3.0%
300–400 miliardi 1.1%
$184,993 Vol.
$184,993 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
$55,792 Vol.
<1%
100–200 miliardi
$50,606 Vol.
<1%
200–300 miliardi
$6,305 Vol.
<1%
300–400 miliardi
$45,243 Vol.
1%
400–600 miliardi
$7,027 Vol.
3%
600Mrd+
$10,148 Vol.
78%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$9,873 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$184,993Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$184,993Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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