Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, reflecting its more advanced preparations for a potential October 2026 listing amid OpenAI's recent internal friction. Anthropic has engaged banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan in early discussions, hired IPO counsel Wilson Sonsini, and rejected over $800 billion funding offers while scaling to a $30 billion annual run-rate—closing the revenue gap with its rival. In contrast, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar voiced concerns last week over CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline, citing massive compute expenditures and governance hurdles tied to its Microsoft partnership. Key catalysts include forthcoming S-1 filings and resolution of OpenAI's restructuring, with both firms navigating cooling public AI sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic
$52,599 Vol.
$52,599 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$52,599 Vol.
$52,599 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, reflecting its more advanced preparations for a potential October 2026 listing amid OpenAI's recent internal friction. Anthropic has engaged banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan in early discussions, hired IPO counsel Wilson Sonsini, and rejected over $800 billion funding offers while scaling to a $30 billion annual run-rate—closing the revenue gap with its rival. In contrast, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar voiced concerns last week over CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline, citing massive compute expenditures and governance hurdles tied to its Microsoft partnership. Key catalysts include forthcoming S-1 filings and resolution of OpenAI's restructuring, with both firms navigating cooling public AI sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$52,599Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, reflecting its more advanced preparations for a potential October 2026 listing amid OpenAI's recent internal friction. Anthropic has engaged banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan in early discussions, hired IPO counsel Wilson Sonsini, and rejected over $800 billion funding offers while scaling to a $30 billion annual run-rate—closing the revenue gap with its rival. In contrast, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar voiced concerns last week over CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline, citing massive compute expenditures and governance hurdles tied to its Microsoft partnership. Key catalysts include forthcoming S-1 filings and resolution of OpenAI's restructuring, with both firms navigating cooling public AI sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,599Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, reflecting its more advanced preparations for a potential October 2026 listing amid OpenAI's recent internal friction. Anthropic has engaged banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan in early discussions, hired IPO counsel Wilson Sonsini, and rejected over $800 billion funding offers while scaling to a $30 billion annual run-rate—closing the revenue gap with its rival. In contrast, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar voiced concerns last week over CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline, citing massive compute expenditures and governance hurdles tied to its Microsoft partnership. Key catalysts include forthcoming S-1 filings and resolution of OpenAI's restructuring, with both firms navigating cooling public AI sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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