Anthropic’s rapid private valuation ascent to $965 billion post-money in its May 2026 Series H round, paired with annualized revenue reaching roughly $47 billion, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for its IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and reports targeting an October 2026 listing amid expectations of $100–200 billion forward revenue have fueled debate over whether public markets will sustain or moderate the trajectory relative to peers like OpenAI. Closely matched probabilities across $1.75–2.5 trillion bins reflect uncertainty in IPO pricing dynamics, sector multiples, and macro risk appetite, while the low “no IPO by 2027” odds underscore strong momentum tempered by regulatory, competitive, and execution risks ahead of the roadshow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.4%
$372,671 Vol.
$372,671 Vol.
<$1.25T
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
8%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.4%
$372,671 Vol.
$372,671 Vol.
<$1.25T
4%
$1.25–$1.5T
8%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid private valuation ascent to $965 billion post-money in its May 2026 Series H round, paired with annualized revenue reaching roughly $47 billion, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for its IPO closing market cap. Confidential S-1 filing in June and reports targeting an October 2026 listing amid expectations of $100–200 billion forward revenue have fueled debate over whether public markets will sustain or moderate the trajectory relative to peers like OpenAI. Closely matched probabilities across $1.75–2.5 trillion bins reflect uncertainty in IPO pricing dynamics, sector multiples, and macro risk appetite, while the low “no IPO by 2027” odds underscore strong momentum tempered by regulatory, competitive, and execution risks ahead of the roadshow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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