Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including an expected public S-1 filing by month-end and a potential October 2026 Nasdaq debut, anchor current trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.25 trillion closing market-cap range. Explosive revenue momentum—Q2 2026 sales of $11.5 billion and a $65 billion annualized run rate—supports aggressive 2028 projections of $190–200 billion, implying multiples that could justify a $2 trillion-plus valuation and a record equity raise exceeding SpaceX’s $75 billion. Yet the closely bunched implied probabilities across the $1.5–2.75 trillion bands reflect uncertainty over sustained margins, compute costs, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and broader risk appetite ahead of the listing. Traders are effectively pricing the gap between current private valuation of roughly $965 billion and forward growth assumptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$368,674 Vol.
$368,674 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.0%
$368,674 Vol.
$368,674 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
12%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including an expected public S-1 filing by month-end and a potential October 2026 Nasdaq debut, anchor current trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.25 trillion closing market-cap range. Explosive revenue momentum—Q2 2026 sales of $11.5 billion and a $65 billion annualized run rate—supports aggressive 2028 projections of $190–200 billion, implying multiples that could justify a $2 trillion-plus valuation and a record equity raise exceeding SpaceX’s $75 billion. Yet the closely bunched implied probabilities across the $1.5–2.75 trillion bands reflect uncertainty over sustained margins, compute costs, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and broader risk appetite ahead of the listing. Traders are effectively pricing the gap between current private valuation of roughly $965 billion and forward growth assumptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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