Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in early June 2026 has positioned NASDAQ as the market favorite at 67% implied probability, reflecting the strong preference among large AI and technology companies for its deep liquidity, specialized investor base, and historical precedent with peers in software and machine learning. Recent revenue acceleration to multibillion-dollar run rates and a valuation exceeding $1 trillion have accelerated IPO preparations targeting a possible October debut, with underwriters like Goldman Sachs typically steering tech listings toward NASDAQ. NYSE trails at 40% amid fewer comparable AI precedents, while "other" exchanges sit at 45% given the remote possibility of international venues. Traders are watching for the public filing and roadshow details that could confirm the venue before any final decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNASDAQ 66%
Altro 43%
NYSE 31%
NASDAQ
66%
NYSE
31%
Altro
43%
NASDAQ 66%
Altro 43%
NYSE 31%
NASDAQ
66%
NYSE
31%
Altro
43%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing in early June 2026 has positioned NASDAQ as the market favorite at 67% implied probability, reflecting the strong preference among large AI and technology companies for its deep liquidity, specialized investor base, and historical precedent with peers in software and machine learning. Recent revenue acceleration to multibillion-dollar run rates and a valuation exceeding $1 trillion have accelerated IPO preparations targeting a possible October debut, with underwriters like Goldman Sachs typically steering tech listings toward NASDAQ. NYSE trails at 40% amid fewer comparable AI precedents, while "other" exchanges sit at 45% given the remote possibility of international venues. Traders are watching for the public filing and roadshow details that could confirm the venue before any final decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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