Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 listing, reflected in the 62.5% market-implied probability. Standard regulatory review timelines of three to six months, combined with underwriting by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, align with fall 2026 windows, while recent August reports on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue projections and planned investor meetings reinforce momentum for a near-term debut. Competitive AI sector dynamics, rapid revenue scaling, and favorable market conditions for large tech IPOs further support October over later months, though any SEC delays or shifts in valuation targets could extend the timeline into November or beyond.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOttobre 2026 62%
Novembre 2026 11%
Settembre 2026 10%
Dicembre 2026 5%
Settembre 2026
10%
Ottobre 2026
62%
Novembre 2026
11%
Dicembre 2026
5%
Gennaio 2027
5%
Febbraio 2027
5%
Marzo 2027
5%
Aprile 2027
4%
Maggio 2027
5%
Giugno 2027
5%
Luglio 2027
4%
Agosto 2027
4%
Settembre 2027
4%
Ottobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Dicembre 2027
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
4%
Ottobre 2026 62%
Novembre 2026 11%
Settembre 2026 10%
Dicembre 2026 5%
Settembre 2026
10%
Ottobre 2026
62%
Novembre 2026
11%
Dicembre 2026
5%
Gennaio 2027
5%
Febbraio 2027
5%
Marzo 2027
5%
Aprile 2027
4%
Maggio 2027
5%
Giugno 2027
5%
Luglio 2027
4%
Agosto 2027
4%
Settembre 2027
4%
Ottobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Dicembre 2027
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
4%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 listing, reflected in the 62.5% market-implied probability. Standard regulatory review timelines of three to six months, combined with underwriting by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, align with fall 2026 windows, while recent August reports on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue projections and planned investor meetings reinforce momentum for a near-term debut. Competitive AI sector dynamics, rapid revenue scaling, and favorable market conditions for large tech IPOs further support October over later months, though any SEC delays or shifts in valuation targets could extend the timeline into November or beyond.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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