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Tecnologia·AI

Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?

icon for Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Tecnologia·AI

Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?

7–13 settembre 27%

28 settembre–4 ottobre 26%

5–11 ottobre 26%

26 ottobre–1 novembre 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

7–13 settembre 27%

28 settembre–4 ottobre 26%

5–11 ottobre 26%

26 ottobre–1 novembre 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Prima del 31 agosto

$0 Vol.

25%

31 agosto–6 settembre

$0 Vol.

24%

7–13 settembre

$0 Vol.

27%

14 settembre–20 settembre

$0 Vol.

25%

21 settembre–27 settembre

$0 Vol.

23%

28 settembre–4 ottobre

$0 Vol.

26%

5–11 ottobre

$0 Vol.

26%

12 ottobre–18 ottobre

$0 Vol.

22%

19–25 ottobre

$0 Vol.

22%

26 ottobre–1 novembre

$0 Vol.

26%

Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre

$55 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$55
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$55
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Correlati

icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

91%
icon for Non ci sarà nessun nuovo modello di Google Gemini Pro rilasciato entro il 30 settembre 2026?

Non ci sarà nessun nuovo modello di Google Gemini Pro rilasciato entro il 30 settembre 2026?

48%
Sì
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

70%

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Domande frequenti

"Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "7–13 settembre" a 27%, seguito da "28 settembre–4 ottobre" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?" è "7–13 settembre" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "28 settembre–4 ottobre" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.