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icon for Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Tecnologia·AI

Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?

icon for Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Tecnologia·AI

Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?

ago 31

set 30

ago 31

set 30

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 35%

9 settembre 18%

22 settembre 10%

24 settembre 10%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 35%

9 settembre 18%

22 settembre 10%

24 settembre 10%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Entro il 1º settembre

$62 Vol.

4%

2 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

3 settembre

$58 Vol.

7%

4 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

5 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

6 settembre

$58 Vol.

9%

7 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

8 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

9 settembre

$58 Vol.

18%

10 settembre

$58 Vol.

1%

11 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

12 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

13 settembre

$58 Vol.

1%

14 settembre

$58 Vol.

9%

15 settembre

$58 Vol.

9%

16 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

17 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

18 settembre

$58 Vol.

7%

19 settembre

$58 Vol.

6%

20 settembre

$58 Vol.

10%

21 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

22 settembre

$58 Vol.

10%

23 settembre

$58 Vol.

6%

24 settembre

$58 Vol.

10%

25 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

26 settembre

$58 Vol.

6%

27 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

28 settembre

$58 Vol.

10%

29 settembre

$58 Vol.

8%

30 settembre

$58 Vol.

5%

Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre

$94 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model—originally targeted for June then July 2026—remain the core driver behind the fragmented September release probabilities and 32.5% chance of no launch by month-end. Internal performance shortfalls prompted extended partner testing and tweaks after the July 21 rollout of lighter variants such as 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. Traders weigh Google DeepMind’s history of conservative timelines against competitive benchmarks and potential last-minute announcements, producing a wide distribution of implied odds across early-to-late September dates that reflect persistent uncertainty over when the full reasoning-focused Pro model will reach public API and app availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,842
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship model—originally targeted for June then July 2026—remain the core driver behind the fragmented September release probabilities and 32.5% chance of no launch by month-end. Internal performance shortfalls prompted extended partner testing and tweaks after the July 21 rollout of lighter variants such as 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. Traders weigh Google DeepMind’s history of conservative timelines against competitive benchmarks and potential last-minute announcements, producing a wide distribution of implied odds across early-to-late September dates that reflect persistent uncertainty over when the full reasoning-focused Pro model will reach public API and app availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,842
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Correlati

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Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

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Il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro verrà rilasciato tra il 7 e il 13 settembre 2026?

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Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 31 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre" a 40%, seguito da "20 settembre" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?", esplora i 31 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?" è "Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "20 settembre" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.