DeepSeek’s V4-Flash series reached a key milestone with the July 31, 2026 public-beta release of the re-post-trained 0731 variant (284B total parameters, 13B active), which delivered major gains in agentic benchmarks while keeping the same architecture and API endpoint as the April preview. This followed the April 24, 2026 V4 family preview and preceded the mid-August general availability of the larger V4-Pro model. No official timeline or roadmap has been shared for a subsequent Flash iteration or V5, leaving release cadence dependent on DeepSeek’s internal iteration speed, competitive pressure from other labs on cost-efficient MoE models with long context, and any updates in the company’s API changelog. Traders focus on historical patterns around Lunar New Year timing and the absence of announced delays or acceleration signals that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo DeepSeek Flash rilasciato da...?
30 settembre
34%
30 novembre
63%
$61 Vol.
30 settembre
34%
30 novembre
63%
A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...DeepSeek’s V4-Flash series reached a key milestone with the July 31, 2026 public-beta release of the re-post-trained 0731 variant (284B total parameters, 13B active), which delivered major gains in agentic benchmarks while keeping the same architecture and API endpoint as the April preview. This followed the April 24, 2026 V4 family preview and preceded the mid-August general availability of the larger V4-Pro model. No official timeline or roadmap has been shared for a subsequent Flash iteration or V5, leaving release cadence dependent on DeepSeek’s internal iteration speed, competitive pressure from other labs on cost-efficient MoE models with long context, and any updates in the company’s API changelog. Traders focus on historical patterns around Lunar New Year timing and the absence of announced delays or acceleration signals that could shift implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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