Recent releases from Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and Alibaba have driven Code Arena/WebDev Elo scores into the 1600–1690 range, with Claude Opus 5 variants leading at around 1691 and Grok 4.6 climbing rapidly after its mid-August debut. Trader sentiment reflects sustained gains in agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified (top models near 95–96%) and LiveCodeBench, fueled by larger context windows, improved tool use, and iterative post-training. Open-weight entries like certain Qwen and DeepSeek variants are closing gaps on specific tasks, while preference-based Arena voting rewards multi-step web development workflows. Key catalysts ahead include any late-2026 flagship launches or major scaffold improvements that could push leading scores higher before year-end resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
$186,506 Vol.
30 dic 2026
1560
43%
1580
19%
1600
14%
$186,506 Vol.
1560
$89,000 Vol.
43%
1580
$64,114 Vol.
19%
1600
$33,392 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and Alibaba have driven Code Arena/WebDev Elo scores into the 1600–1690 range, with Claude Opus 5 variants leading at around 1691 and Grok 4.6 climbing rapidly after its mid-August debut. Trader sentiment reflects sustained gains in agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified (top models near 95–96%) and LiveCodeBench, fueled by larger context windows, improved tool use, and iterative post-training. Open-weight entries like certain Qwen and DeepSeek variants are closing gaps on specific tasks, while preference-based Arena voting rewards multi-step web development workflows. Key catalysts ahead include any late-2026 flagship launches or major scaffold improvements that could push leading scores higher before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$186,506Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and Alibaba have driven Code Arena/WebDev Elo scores into the 1600–1690 range, with Claude Opus 5 variants leading at around 1691 and Grok 4.6 climbing rapidly after its mid-August debut. Trader sentiment reflects sustained gains in agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified (top models near 95–96%) and LiveCodeBench, fueled by larger context windows, improved tool use, and iterative post-training. Open-weight entries like certain Qwen and DeepSeek variants are closing gaps on specific tasks, while preference-based Arena voting rewards multi-step web development workflows. Key catalysts ahead include any late-2026 flagship launches or major scaffold improvements that could push leading scores higher before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$186,506Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and Alibaba have driven Code Arena/WebDev Elo scores into the 1600–1690 range, with Claude Opus 5 variants leading at around 1691 and Grok 4.6 climbing rapidly after its mid-August debut. Trader sentiment reflects sustained gains in agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified (top models near 95–96%) and LiveCodeBench, fueled by larger context windows, improved tool use, and iterative post-training. Open-weight entries like certain Qwen and DeepSeek variants are closing gaps on specific tasks, while preference-based Arena voting rewards multi-step web development workflows. Key catalysts ahead include any late-2026 flagship launches or major scaffold improvements that could push leading scores higher before year-end resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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