Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with major updates every two to three months through 2026, underpins trader expectations for the next flagship Opus release after Opus 5 launched July 24. The July model improved agentic coding, self-verification, and cost-efficiency to approach Fable 5 performance at half the token price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 arrived September 1 as the new frontier tier for complex knowledge work. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google releases, plus Anthropic’s emphasis on effort controls, dynamic workflows, and safeguards, keeps development momentum high. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus, but the pattern of frequent, benchmark-driven refreshes and ongoing enterprise/agent use cases points to a likely update before year-end, subject to typical product slippage risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
$105,628 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
77%
31 ottobre
99%
31 dicembre
98%
$105,628 Vol.
30 settembre
$45,701 Vol.
77%
31 ottobre
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 dicembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with major updates every two to three months through 2026, underpins trader expectations for the next flagship Opus release after Opus 5 launched July 24. The July model improved agentic coding, self-verification, and cost-efficiency to approach Fable 5 performance at half the token price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 arrived September 1 as the new frontier tier for complex knowledge work. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google releases, plus Anthropic’s emphasis on effort controls, dynamic workflows, and safeguards, keeps development momentum high. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus, but the pattern of frequent, benchmark-driven refreshes and ongoing enterprise/agent use cases points to a likely update before year-end, subject to typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$105,628Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with major updates every two to three months through 2026, underpins trader expectations for the next flagship Opus release after Opus 5 launched July 24. The July model improved agentic coding, self-verification, and cost-efficiency to approach Fable 5 performance at half the token price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 arrived September 1 as the new frontier tier for complex knowledge work. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google releases, plus Anthropic’s emphasis on effort controls, dynamic workflows, and safeguards, keeps development momentum high. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus, but the pattern of frequent, benchmark-driven refreshes and ongoing enterprise/agent use cases points to a likely update before year-end, subject to typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$105,628Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with major updates every two to three months through 2026, underpins trader expectations for the next flagship Opus release after Opus 5 launched July 24. The July model improved agentic coding, self-verification, and cost-efficiency to approach Fable 5 performance at half the token price, while Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 arrived September 1 as the new frontier tier for complex knowledge work. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google releases, plus Anthropic’s emphasis on effort controls, dynamic workflows, and safeguards, keeps development momentum high. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus, but the pattern of frequent, benchmark-driven refreshes and ongoing enterprise/agent use cases points to a likely update before year-end, subject to typical product slippage risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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