Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective agentic coding and knowledge-work model that approaches Fable 5 performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while retaining the $5/$25 per million token pricing. This followed a string of 5-series launches, including Sonnet 5 in June and Fable/Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1. Traders appear to interpret Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence—coupled with competitive pressure in frontier large language models—as favoring another Opus-tier release in the near term, with prediction markets implying strong consensus around late September timelines. No official roadmap or confirmed development milestones have surfaced since the July launch, leaving room for typical AI timeline slippage or shifts toward non-Opus variants.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
$107,283 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
82%
31 ottobre
99%
31 dicembre
98%
$107,283 Vol.
30 settembre
$47,355 Vol.
82%
31 ottobre
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 dicembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective agentic coding and knowledge-work model that approaches Fable 5 performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while retaining the $5/$25 per million token pricing. This followed a string of 5-series launches, including Sonnet 5 in June and Fable/Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1. Traders appear to interpret Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence—coupled with competitive pressure in frontier large language models—as favoring another Opus-tier release in the near term, with prediction markets implying strong consensus around late September timelines. No official roadmap or confirmed development milestones have surfaced since the July launch, leaving room for typical AI timeline slippage or shifts toward non-Opus variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$107,283Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective agentic coding and knowledge-work model that approaches Fable 5 performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while retaining the $5/$25 per million token pricing. This followed a string of 5-series launches, including Sonnet 5 in June and Fable/Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1. Traders appear to interpret Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence—coupled with competitive pressure in frontier large language models—as favoring another Opus-tier release in the near term, with prediction markets implying strong consensus around late September timelines. No official roadmap or confirmed development milestones have surfaced since the July launch, leaving room for typical AI timeline slippage or shifts toward non-Opus variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,283Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective agentic coding and knowledge-work model that approaches Fable 5 performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while retaining the $5/$25 per million token pricing. This followed a string of 5-series launches, including Sonnet 5 in June and Fable/Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1. Traders appear to interpret Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence—coupled with competitive pressure in frontier large language models—as favoring another Opus-tier release in the near term, with prediction markets implying strong consensus around late September timelines. No official roadmap or confirmed development milestones have surfaced since the July launch, leaving room for typical AI timeline slippage or shifts toward non-Opus variants.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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