OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and internal targeting of a $1 trillion-plus public valuation form the core driver behind current market-implied odds. Traders assign a combined 82.5% probability to a closing market cap of $1 trillion or higher, reflecting the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and enterprise API momentum despite ongoing losses and Microsoft dependence. Recent June reporting of a potential 2027 delay introduces modest timing risk, captured in the 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while comparable AI listings and analyst benchmarks anchor expectations around $850 billion–$1.2 trillion outcomes. Key catalysts ahead include final underwriter selection, profitability trajectory, and any pre-IPO funding rounds that could reset the base valuation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1,5T+ 38.0%
1,25T–1,5T 24%
1T–1,25T 20.5%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 10%
$90,303 Vol.
$90,303 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
1%
500–750 miliardi
3%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1,25T
21%
1,25T–1,5T
24%
1,5T+
38%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
10%
1,5T+ 38.0%
1,25T–1,5T 24%
1T–1,25T 20.5%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 10%
$90,303 Vol.
$90,303 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
$6,284 Vol.
1%
500–750 miliardi
$8,357 Vol.
3%
750B–1T
$9,333 Vol.
8%
1T–1,25T
$14,102 Vol.
21%
1,25T–1,5T
$8,690 Vol.
24%
1,5T+
$24,054 Vol.
38%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$19,483 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and internal targeting of a $1 trillion-plus public valuation form the core driver behind current market-implied odds. Traders assign a combined 82.5% probability to a closing market cap of $1 trillion or higher, reflecting the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and enterprise API momentum despite ongoing losses and Microsoft dependence. Recent June reporting of a potential 2027 delay introduces modest timing risk, captured in the 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while comparable AI listings and analyst benchmarks anchor expectations around $850 billion–$1.2 trillion outcomes. Key catalysts ahead include final underwriter selection, profitability trajectory, and any pre-IPO funding rounds that could reset the base valuation.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$90,303Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and internal targeting of a $1 trillion-plus public valuation form the core driver behind current market-implied odds. Traders assign a combined 82.5% probability to a closing market cap of $1 trillion or higher, reflecting the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and enterprise API momentum despite ongoing losses and Microsoft dependence. Recent June reporting of a potential 2027 delay introduces modest timing risk, captured in the 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while comparable AI listings and analyst benchmarks anchor expectations around $850 billion–$1.2 trillion outcomes. Key catalysts ahead include final underwriter selection, profitability trajectory, and any pre-IPO funding rounds that could reset the base valuation.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$90,303Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and internal targeting of a $1 trillion-plus public valuation form the core driver behind current market-implied odds. Traders assign a combined 82.5% probability to a closing market cap of $1 trillion or higher, reflecting the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and enterprise API momentum despite ongoing losses and Microsoft dependence. Recent June reporting of a potential 2027 delay introduces modest timing risk, captured in the 9.5% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while comparable AI listings and analyst benchmarks anchor expectations around $850 billion–$1.2 trillion outcomes. Key catalysts ahead include final underwriter selection, profitability trajectory, and any pre-IPO funding rounds that could reset the base valuation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti