OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a potential 2027 listing have shaped Polymarket pricing, with the <$30B bucket holding the highest implied probability at 40%. Traders cite the company’s heavy infrastructure spending, projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, and Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation as sources of uncertainty around final raise size. Earlier banker discussions targeting at least $60 billion at the low end support the elevated probabilities clustered in the $80–90B range, while broader market conditions for mega-cap tech offerings and regulatory scrutiny on AI capital needs continue to influence the distribution of outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 44.3%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<$30B
44%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
21%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
8%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
35%
<$30B 44.3%
$100B+ 35%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$60B–$70B 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<$30B
$476 Vol.
44%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
21%
$50B–$60B
$825 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
8%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
4%
$100B+
$547 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a potential 2027 listing have shaped Polymarket pricing, with the <$30B bucket holding the highest implied probability at 40%. Traders cite the company’s heavy infrastructure spending, projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, and Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation as sources of uncertainty around final raise size. Earlier banker discussions targeting at least $60 billion at the low end support the elevated probabilities clustered in the $80–90B range, while broader market conditions for mega-cap tech offerings and regulatory scrutiny on AI capital needs continue to influence the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$5,671Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a potential 2027 listing have shaped Polymarket pricing, with the <$30B bucket holding the highest implied probability at 40%. Traders cite the company’s heavy infrastructure spending, projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, and Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation as sources of uncertainty around final raise size. Earlier banker discussions targeting at least $60 billion at the low end support the elevated probabilities clustered in the $80–90B range, while broader market conditions for mega-cap tech offerings and regulatory scrutiny on AI capital needs continue to influence the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,671Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent signals of a potential 2027 listing have shaped Polymarket pricing, with the <$30B bucket holding the highest implied probability at 40%. Traders cite the company’s heavy infrastructure spending, projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, and Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion valuation as sources of uncertainty around final raise size. Earlier banker discussions targeting at least $60 billion at the low end support the elevated probabilities clustered in the $80–90B range, while broader market conditions for mega-cap tech offerings and regulatory scrutiny on AI capital needs continue to influence the distribution of outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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