OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March record $122 billion raise at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underpins trader consensus around a $1.75–2.25 trillion IPO range. Strong backing from Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank and Microsoft, plus annualized revenue approaching $25 billion from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model adoption, fuels optimism for a premium listing. However, sustained losses, competition from Anthropic and Google, and uncertain IPO timing (potentially September 2026 or later) create dispersion across lower brackets. The close split between the top two outcomes reflects the market-implied balance between AI hype and execution risks in a volatile sector.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2.0T–$2.25T 26%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
16%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
26%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
10%
$2.0T–$2.25T 26%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
$450 Vol.
16%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$80 Vol.
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$80 Vol.
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$163 Vol.
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$53 Vol.
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$301 Vol.
26%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$75 Vol.
11%
$2.5T+
$139 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March record $122 billion raise at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underpins trader consensus around a $1.75–2.25 trillion IPO range. Strong backing from Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank and Microsoft, plus annualized revenue approaching $25 billion from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model adoption, fuels optimism for a premium listing. However, sustained losses, competition from Anthropic and Google, and uncertain IPO timing (potentially September 2026 or later) create dispersion across lower brackets. The close split between the top two outcomes reflects the market-implied balance between AI hype and execution risks in a volatile sector.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,341Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March record $122 billion raise at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underpins trader consensus around a $1.75–2.25 trillion IPO range. Strong backing from Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank and Microsoft, plus annualized revenue approaching $25 billion from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model adoption, fuels optimism for a premium listing. However, sustained losses, competition from Anthropic and Google, and uncertain IPO timing (potentially September 2026 or later) create dispersion across lower brackets. The close split between the top two outcomes reflects the market-implied balance between AI hype and execution risks in a volatile sector.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,341Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, combined with its March record $122 billion raise at an $852 billion post-money valuation, underpins trader consensus around a $1.75–2.25 trillion IPO range. Strong backing from Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank and Microsoft, plus annualized revenue approaching $25 billion from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model adoption, fuels optimism for a premium listing. However, sustained losses, competition from Anthropic and Google, and uncertain IPO timing (potentially September 2026 or later) create dispersion across lower brackets. The close split between the top two outcomes reflects the market-implied balance between AI hype and execution risks in a volatile sector.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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