Recent investor-initiated talks for a pre-IPO funding round at roughly $1.2 trillion, with OpenAI seeking up to $1.5 trillion, anchor trader sentiment following the March 2026 close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Annualized revenue has accelerated to approximately $40 billion as of August 2026, driven by demand for models including GPT-5.6 and Codex, though substantial operating losses persist. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to defer the IPO until 2027, citing AI safety priorities and market conditions after the confidential S-1 filing in June, has shifted focus to private capital as a bridge to public markets. The closely matched leading probabilities around $1.5–2.0 trillion reflect this trajectory of rapid growth and investor appetite, balanced against execution risks, governance complexities as a public benefit corporation, and broader tech valuation volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.5T–$1.75T 27.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 25%
$2.5T+ 14.3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 11.2%
$169,945 Vol.
$169,945 Vol.
30 giu 2027
<$1T
11%
$1.0T–$1.25T
8%
$1.25T–$1.5T
11%
$1.5T–$1.75T
28%
$1.75T–$2.0T
25%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T 27.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 25%
$2.5T+ 14.3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 11.2%
$169,945 Vol.
$169,945 Vol.
30 giu 2027
<$1T
$34,556 Vol.
11%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$22,115 Vol.
8%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$8,642 Vol.
11%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$9,318 Vol.
28%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$24,435 Vol.
25%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,950 Vol.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,687 Vol.
5%
$2.5T+
$59,240 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent investor-initiated talks for a pre-IPO funding round at roughly $1.2 trillion, with OpenAI seeking up to $1.5 trillion, anchor trader sentiment following the March 2026 close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Annualized revenue has accelerated to approximately $40 billion as of August 2026, driven by demand for models including GPT-5.6 and Codex, though substantial operating losses persist. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to defer the IPO until 2027, citing AI safety priorities and market conditions after the confidential S-1 filing in June, has shifted focus to private capital as a bridge to public markets. The closely matched leading probabilities around $1.5–2.0 trillion reflect this trajectory of rapid growth and investor appetite, balanced against execution risks, governance complexities as a public benefit corporation, and broader tech valuation volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$169,945Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent investor-initiated talks for a pre-IPO funding round at roughly $1.2 trillion, with OpenAI seeking up to $1.5 trillion, anchor trader sentiment following the March 2026 close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Annualized revenue has accelerated to approximately $40 billion as of August 2026, driven by demand for models including GPT-5.6 and Codex, though substantial operating losses persist. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to defer the IPO until 2027, citing AI safety priorities and market conditions after the confidential S-1 filing in June, has shifted focus to private capital as a bridge to public markets. The closely matched leading probabilities around $1.5–2.0 trillion reflect this trajectory of rapid growth and investor appetite, balanced against execution risks, governance complexities as a public benefit corporation, and broader tech valuation volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,945Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent investor-initiated talks for a pre-IPO funding round at roughly $1.2 trillion, with OpenAI seeking up to $1.5 trillion, anchor trader sentiment following the March 2026 close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Annualized revenue has accelerated to approximately $40 billion as of August 2026, driven by demand for models including GPT-5.6 and Codex, though substantial operating losses persist. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to defer the IPO until 2027, citing AI safety priorities and market conditions after the confidential S-1 filing in June, has shifted focus to private capital as a bridge to public markets. The closely matched leading probabilities around $1.5–2.0 trillion reflect this trajectory of rapid growth and investor appetite, balanced against execution risks, governance complexities as a public benefit corporation, and broader tech valuation volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?
56%
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
69%
Sì
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?
95%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti