OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and $852 billion March 2026 private valuation anchor trader sentiment, with Sam Altman's $1 trillion target clashing against profitability concerns despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. The near-even implied probabilities for $1.5–2.5 trillion brackets versus sub-$1.25 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over 2026–2027 timing, competitive AI landscape pressures, and public-market multiples that could compress or expand based on enterprise adoption trends. Key catalysts include potential S-1 details, labor market data influencing risk appetite, and benchmark Treasury yields that shape growth-stock valuations. Aggregated capital at risk underscores the balanced assessment of these fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.25T–$1.5T 12%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
$1.0T–$1.25T 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
22%
$1.0T–$1.25T
24%
$1.25T–$1.5T
12%
$1.5T–$1.75T
30%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
31%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 12%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
$1.0T–$1.25T 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
$729 Vol.
22%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$129 Vol.
24%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$80 Vol.
12%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$273 Vol.
30%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$2,025 Vol.
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$499 Vol.
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$134 Vol.
31%
$2.5T+
$1,563 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and $852 billion March 2026 private valuation anchor trader sentiment, with Sam Altman's $1 trillion target clashing against profitability concerns despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. The near-even implied probabilities for $1.5–2.5 trillion brackets versus sub-$1.25 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over 2026–2027 timing, competitive AI landscape pressures, and public-market multiples that could compress or expand based on enterprise adoption trends. Key catalysts include potential S-1 details, labor market data influencing risk appetite, and benchmark Treasury yields that shape growth-stock valuations. Aggregated capital at risk underscores the balanced assessment of these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,430Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and $852 billion March 2026 private valuation anchor trader sentiment, with Sam Altman's $1 trillion target clashing against profitability concerns despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. The near-even implied probabilities for $1.5–2.5 trillion brackets versus sub-$1.25 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over 2026–2027 timing, competitive AI landscape pressures, and public-market multiples that could compress or expand based on enterprise adoption trends. Key catalysts include potential S-1 details, labor market data influencing risk appetite, and benchmark Treasury yields that shape growth-stock valuations. Aggregated capital at risk underscores the balanced assessment of these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,430Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and $852 billion March 2026 private valuation anchor trader sentiment, with Sam Altman's $1 trillion target clashing against profitability concerns despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. The near-even implied probabilities for $1.5–2.5 trillion brackets versus sub-$1.25 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over 2026–2027 timing, competitive AI landscape pressures, and public-market multiples that could compress or expand based on enterprise adoption trends. Key catalysts include potential S-1 details, labor market data influencing risk appetite, and benchmark Treasury yields that shape growth-stock valuations. Aggregated capital at risk underscores the balanced assessment of these fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
35%
Sì
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?
80%
Sì
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
56%
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