OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and CFO Sara Friar's August 19 all-hands remarks—that the company will become public in 2027 or sooner if business momentum continues—remain the dominant drivers of trader sentiment on its eventual IPO closing market cap. Private valuations have climbed to roughly $850 billion following the March 2026 funding round, with Wall Street underwriters and revenue trends from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage supporting IPO targets near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied odds currently price a high probability of clearing the $800 billion threshold on debut while reflecting uncertainty over 2026 versus 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic, and broader tech-sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any acceleration of the roadshow or macroeconomic shifts affecting IPO windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,521,004 Vol.
$1,521,004 Vol.
30 dic 2027
800 miliardi di dollari
83%
$1T
76%
$1,2T
61%
1,4 mila miliardi di dollari
51%
1,6T
42%
$1,521,004 Vol.
$1,521,004 Vol.
30 dic 2027
800 miliardi di dollari
$107,749 Vol.
83%
$1T
$1,046,743 Vol.
76%
$1,2T
$248,690 Vol.
61%
1,4 mila miliardi di dollari
$68,500 Vol.
51%
1,6T
$49,323 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and CFO Sara Friar's August 19 all-hands remarks—that the company will become public in 2027 or sooner if business momentum continues—remain the dominant drivers of trader sentiment on its eventual IPO closing market cap. Private valuations have climbed to roughly $850 billion following the March 2026 funding round, with Wall Street underwriters and revenue trends from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage supporting IPO targets near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied odds currently price a high probability of clearing the $800 billion threshold on debut while reflecting uncertainty over 2026 versus 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic, and broader tech-sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any acceleration of the roadshow or macroeconomic shifts affecting IPO windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,521,004Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and CFO Sara Friar's August 19 all-hands remarks—that the company will become public in 2027 or sooner if business momentum continues—remain the dominant drivers of trader sentiment on its eventual IPO closing market cap. Private valuations have climbed to roughly $850 billion following the March 2026 funding round, with Wall Street underwriters and revenue trends from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage supporting IPO targets near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied odds currently price a high probability of clearing the $800 billion threshold on debut while reflecting uncertainty over 2026 versus 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic, and broader tech-sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any acceleration of the roadshow or macroeconomic shifts affecting IPO windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,521,004Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and CFO Sara Friar's August 19 all-hands remarks—that the company will become public in 2027 or sooner if business momentum continues—remain the dominant drivers of trader sentiment on its eventual IPO closing market cap. Private valuations have climbed to roughly $850 billion following the March 2026 funding round, with Wall Street underwriters and revenue trends from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage supporting IPO targets near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied odds currently price a high probability of clearing the $800 billion threshold on debut while reflecting uncertainty over 2026 versus 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic, and broader tech-sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any acceleration of the roadshow or macroeconomic shifts affecting IPO windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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