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icon for Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI
Finanza·IPO

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI

icon for Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI
Finanza·IPO

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI

gen 1, 2027

gen 1, 2028

gen 1, 2027

gen 1, 2028

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026 95.1%

1,5T+ 1.2%

<500Mld 1.1%

750 miliardi–1 trilione <1%

Polymarket

$2,318,997 Vol.

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026 95.1%

1,5T+ 1.2%

<500Mld 1.1%

750 miliardi–1 trilione <1%

Polymarket

$2,318,997 Vol.

<500Mld

$315,398 Vol.

1%

500–750 miliardi

$173,309 Vol.

<1%

750 miliardi–1 trilione

$184,098 Vol.

1%

1T–1,25T

$225,340 Vol.

<1%

1,25 T–1,5 T

$532,100 Vol.

1%

1,5T+

$162,731 Vol.

1%

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026

$726,020 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds place a 95.1% probability on no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the company's hybrid non-profit governance structure, which creates significant legal and regulatory hurdles to a public listing, alongside sustained access to private capital through major rounds that have already valued it above $150 billion. Traders appear to price in extended timelines typical for complex AI firms balancing mission-driven constraints with commercial scaling, as recent funding has reduced near-term liquidity pressure without triggering IPO preparations. Scenarios that could shift these odds include accelerated regulatory reforms easing non-profit conversions, a sharp deterioration in private markets forcing a public exit, or leadership decisions prioritizing shareholder liquidity ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,318,997
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds place a 95.1% probability on no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the company's hybrid non-profit governance structure, which creates significant legal and regulatory hurdles to a public listing, alongside sustained access to private capital through major rounds that have already valued it above $150 billion. Traders appear to price in extended timelines typical for complex AI firms balancing mission-driven constraints with commercial scaling, as recent funding has reduced near-term liquidity pressure without triggering IPO preparations. Scenarios that could shift these odds include accelerated regulatory reforms easing non-profit conversions, a sharp deterioration in private markets forcing a public exit, or leadership decisions prioritizing shareholder liquidity ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,318,997
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026" a 95%, seguito da "<500Mld" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" ha generato $2.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 22, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" è "Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "<500Mld" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.