Recent geopolitical de-escalation following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and June MOU reopening the Strait of Hormuz has normalized Middle East supply flows, driving WTI crude prices down from peaks above $119 per barrel to around $84.67 as of late July 2026. This shift, combined with building inventories and forecasts of a 2026 supply surplus exceeding 2 million barrels per day from non-OPEC growth and OPEC+ unwind, has tempered trader expectations for a surge to the $147.27 all-time high. Demand softness, particularly in China, and steady U.S. shale output reinforce downward pressure, with analysts projecting averages near $80-86 for the second half. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA inventory data, OPEC+ policy reviews, and global growth indicators that could alter the supply-demand balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,301,268 Vol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
$2,301,268 Vol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical de-escalation following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and June MOU reopening the Strait of Hormuz has normalized Middle East supply flows, driving WTI crude prices down from peaks above $119 per barrel to around $84.67 as of late July 2026. This shift, combined with building inventories and forecasts of a 2026 supply surplus exceeding 2 million barrels per day from non-OPEC growth and OPEC+ unwind, has tempered trader expectations for a surge to the $147.27 all-time high. Demand softness, particularly in China, and steady U.S. shale output reinforce downward pressure, with analysts projecting averages near $80-86 for the second half. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA inventory data, OPEC+ policy reviews, and global growth indicators that could alter the supply-demand balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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