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icon for Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?
Finanza·Fomc

Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?

icon for Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?
Finanza·Fomc

Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?

ott 29

dic 9

ott 29

dic 9

$154,138 Vol.

9 dic 2026
Polymarket

$154,138 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Riunione di giugno

Riunione di giugno

$15,781 Vol.

1%

icon for Riunione di luglio

Riunione di luglio

$1,768 Vol.

6%

icon for Riunione di settembre

Riunione di settembre

$2,737 Vol.

11%

icon for Riunione di ottobre

Riunione di ottobre

$2,545 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with futures markets now pricing in a gradual rise in the federal funds rate from the current 3.50%-3.75% target range held steady at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Recent data showing sticky price levels amid geopolitical tensions have elevated the market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts. The June 16-17 FOMC decision is widely anticipated to maintain the status quo, though upcoming inflation releases and employment reports could alter the policy path. This pricing reflects aggregated trader consensus on monetary policy risks rather than certainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate hikes will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,138
Data di fine
29 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with futures markets now pricing in a gradual rise in the federal funds rate from the current 3.50%-3.75% target range held steady at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Recent data showing sticky price levels amid geopolitical tensions have elevated the market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts. The June 16-17 FOMC decision is widely anticipated to maintain the status quo, though upcoming inflation releases and employment reports could alter the policy path. This pricing reflects aggregated trader consensus on monetary policy risks rather than certainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate hikes will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,138
Data di fine
29 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Riunione di ottobre" a 26%, seguito da "Riunione di settembre" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 26¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?" ha generato $154.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 31, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?" è "Riunione di ottobre" a 26%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Riunione di settembre" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Aumento dei tassi della Fed di...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.