Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid surging inflation pressures, with the March 2026 Consumer Price Index jumping 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by war-related oil shocks pushing energy costs higher. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% target range following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled one potential cut in 2026 but noted growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, per recent minutes. Labor markets stayed resilient, adding 178,000 jobs and holding unemployment at 4.3%. Polymarket traders price near-certainty (99%) of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC, though 2026 hike odds have risen to around 14%; watch April jobs data on May 2 and CPI on May 12 for shifts in policy expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$31,311 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Riunione di aprile
1%
Riunione di giugno
4%
Riunione di luglio
18%
Riunione di settembre
15%
Riunione di ottobre
22%
$31,311 Vol.
Riunione di aprile
$24,300 Vol.
1%
Riunione di giugno
$6,580 Vol.
4%
Riunione di luglio
$372 Vol.
18%
Riunione di settembre
$3 Vol.
15%
Riunione di ottobre
$55 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid surging inflation pressures, with the March 2026 Consumer Price Index jumping 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by war-related oil shocks pushing energy costs higher. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% target range following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled one potential cut in 2026 but noted growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, per recent minutes. Labor markets stayed resilient, adding 178,000 jobs and holding unemployment at 4.3%. Polymarket traders price near-certainty (99%) of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC, though 2026 hike odds have risen to around 14%; watch April jobs data on May 2 and CPI on May 12 for shifts in policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$31,311Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid surging inflation pressures, with the March 2026 Consumer Price Index jumping 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by war-related oil shocks pushing energy costs higher. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% target range following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled one potential cut in 2026 but noted growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, per recent minutes. Labor markets stayed resilient, adding 178,000 jobs and holding unemployment at 4.3%. Polymarket traders price near-certainty (99%) of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC, though 2026 hike odds have risen to around 14%; watch April jobs data on May 2 and CPI on May 12 for shifts in policy expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,311Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid surging inflation pressures, with the March 2026 Consumer Price Index jumping 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by war-related oil shocks pushing energy costs higher. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% target range following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled one potential cut in 2026 but noted growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, per recent minutes. Labor markets stayed resilient, adding 178,000 jobs and holding unemployment at 4.3%. Polymarket traders price near-certainty (99%) of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC, though 2026 hike odds have risen to around 14%; watch April jobs data on May 2 and CPI on May 12 for shifts in policy expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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