OpenAI's preparations for a potential record IPO underpin the 56.5% implied probability that a $1 trillion-plus valuation listing occurs before 2027. Reports from May 2026 indicate the company has been working with bankers on a confidential S-1 filing as early as that month, with a target public debut as soon as September or Q4 2026 at valuations up to $1 trillion following a March 2026 private round at $852 billion. Recent confidential filings by rival Anthropic and ongoing corporate restructuring to clarify ownership and Microsoft’s stake have reinforced momentum, though OpenAI has stated no IPO date is set and timelines remain fluid amid high spending and competitive pressures in the large language model space. Trader consensus appears to weigh the credible path to a late-2026 or early-2027 listing against risks of delays from regulatory review or market conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOpenAI $1t+ IPO prima del 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO prima del 2027?
$276,191 Vol.
$276,191 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$276,191 Vol.
$276,191 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI's preparations for a potential record IPO underpin the 56.5% implied probability that a $1 trillion-plus valuation listing occurs before 2027. Reports from May 2026 indicate the company has been working with bankers on a confidential S-1 filing as early as that month, with a target public debut as soon as September or Q4 2026 at valuations up to $1 trillion following a March 2026 private round at $852 billion. Recent confidential filings by rival Anthropic and ongoing corporate restructuring to clarify ownership and Microsoft’s stake have reinforced momentum, though OpenAI has stated no IPO date is set and timelines remain fluid amid high spending and competitive pressures in the large language model space. Trader consensus appears to weigh the credible path to a late-2026 or early-2027 listing against risks of delays from regulatory review or market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$276,191Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI's preparations for a potential record IPO underpin the 56.5% implied probability that a $1 trillion-plus valuation listing occurs before 2027. Reports from May 2026 indicate the company has been working with bankers on a confidential S-1 filing as early as that month, with a target public debut as soon as September or Q4 2026 at valuations up to $1 trillion following a March 2026 private round at $852 billion. Recent confidential filings by rival Anthropic and ongoing corporate restructuring to clarify ownership and Microsoft’s stake have reinforced momentum, though OpenAI has stated no IPO date is set and timelines remain fluid amid high spending and competitive pressures in the large language model space. Trader consensus appears to weigh the credible path to a late-2026 or early-2027 listing against risks of delays from regulatory review or market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Volume
$276,191Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's preparations for a potential record IPO underpin the 56.5% implied probability that a $1 trillion-plus valuation listing occurs before 2027. Reports from May 2026 indicate the company has been working with bankers on a confidential S-1 filing as early as that month, with a target public debut as soon as September or Q4 2026 at valuations up to $1 trillion following a March 2026 private round at $852 billion. Recent confidential filings by rival Anthropic and ongoing corporate restructuring to clarify ownership and Microsoft’s stake have reinforced momentum, though OpenAI has stated no IPO date is set and timelines remain fluid amid high spending and competitive pressures in the large language model space. Trader consensus appears to weigh the credible path to a late-2026 or early-2027 listing against risks of delays from regulatory review or market conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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