CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOltre 400 miliardi di yuan 100.0%
340–370 miliardi di yuan <1%
<250 miliardi di yuan <1%
250–280 miliardi di yuan <1%
$2,215,592 Vol.
$2,215,592 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<250 miliardi di yuan
No
250–280 miliardi di yuan
No
280–310 miliardi di yuan
No
310–340 miliardi di yuan
No
340–370 miliardi di yuan
No
370–400 miliardi di yuan
No
Oltre 400 miliardi di yuan
Sì
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026
No
Oltre 400 miliardi di yuan 100.0%
340–370 miliardi di yuan <1%
<250 miliardi di yuan <1%
250–280 miliardi di yuan <1%
$2,215,592 Vol.
$2,215,592 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<250 miliardi di yuan
$7,722 Vol.
No
250–280 miliardi di yuan
$1,624 Vol.
No
280–310 miliardi di yuan
$2,495 Vol.
No
310–340 miliardi di yuan
$3,962 Vol.
No
340–370 miliardi di yuan
$3,823 Vol.
No
370–400 miliardi di yuan
$3,381 Vol.
No
Oltre 400 miliardi di yuan
$2,190,744 Vol.
Sì
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026
$1,841 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volume
$2,215,592Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,215,592Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
CXMT’s IPO market cap odds reflect a balance between its recent regulatory clearance and explosive earnings growth against valuation uncertainty and execution risks. Cleared for Shanghai STAR listing in May 2026 after submitting an updated prospectus, the company targets raising 29.5 billion yuan while reporting Q1 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and net profit of 24.76 billion yuan—up sharply year-over-year amid a DRAM super-cycle tied to AI demand. First-half 2026 profit guidance of 50–57 billion yuan supports analyst models projecting post-IPO market caps from roughly 300 billion yuan (older benchmarks) to 3–4 trillion yuan at 10–20x earnings, creating tight 50% splits across the listed ranges. Key swing factors include final pricing multiples relative to global peers like SK Hynix, potential HBM3 ramp delays, and whether the offering closes by year-end 2026 amid ongoing U.S. export curbs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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