Goldman Sachs leads the market at 55.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO due to its long-standing advisory role with the company and dominant position in large tech offerings, followed by Morgan Stanley at 23.5% as the other bank actively drafting the confidential prospectus. Recent reporting from May and June 2026 confirms both firms were tapped early for the process targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation, while other banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup have only been discussed for the broader syndicate. A reported delay amid tech volatility has not altered the core banker lineup, though the contest for the top spot remains fluid ahead of final S-1 details.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 56%
Morgan Stanley 25%
UBS 3.6%
JPMorgan 3.0%
$36,792 Vol.
$36,792 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Goldman Sachs
56%
Morgan Stanley
25%
UBS
4%
JPMorgan
3%
Bank of America
1%
Barclays
1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 56%
Morgan Stanley 25%
UBS 3.6%
JPMorgan 3.0%
$36,792 Vol.
$36,792 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Goldman Sachs
$5,686 Vol.
56%
Morgan Stanley
$6,061 Vol.
25%
UBS
$2,953 Vol.
4%
JPMorgan
$3,450 Vol.
3%
Bank of America
$2,047 Vol.
1%
Barclays
$3,083 Vol.
1%
Wells Fargo
$2,752 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,213 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$8,547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads the market at 55.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO due to its long-standing advisory role with the company and dominant position in large tech offerings, followed by Morgan Stanley at 23.5% as the other bank actively drafting the confidential prospectus. Recent reporting from May and June 2026 confirms both firms were tapped early for the process targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation, while other banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup have only been discussed for the broader syndicate. A reported delay amid tech volatility has not altered the core banker lineup, though the contest for the top spot remains fluid ahead of final S-1 details.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$36,792Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads the market at 55.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO due to its long-standing advisory role with the company and dominant position in large tech offerings, followed by Morgan Stanley at 23.5% as the other bank actively drafting the confidential prospectus. Recent reporting from May and June 2026 confirms both firms were tapped early for the process targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation, while other banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup have only been discussed for the broader syndicate. A reported delay amid tech volatility has not altered the core banker lineup, though the contest for the top spot remains fluid ahead of final S-1 details.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,792Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs leads the market at 55.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO due to its long-standing advisory role with the company and dominant position in large tech offerings, followed by Morgan Stanley at 23.5% as the other bank actively drafting the confidential prospectus. Recent reporting from May and June 2026 confirms both firms were tapped early for the process targeting a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation, while other banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup have only been discussed for the broader syndicate. A reported delay amid tech volatility has not altered the core banker lineup, though the contest for the top spot remains fluid ahead of final S-1 details.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
53%
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
35%
Sì
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?
82%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti