Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman have solidified trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 series. Trial production of the book-style foldable—featuring a minimized screen crease, improved hinge durability, and premium pricing near $2,000—began in early April, despite a slight mass production slip from June to August due to engineering tweaks. This progress counters earlier delay fears, aligning with Apple's pattern of late-cycle refinements seen in past hardware launches like the Vision Pro. Key catalysts ahead include summer yield validations and the fall event, though historical timeline slips leave room for minor shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Sì
$126,910 Vol.
$126,910 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$126,910 Vol.
$126,910 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman have solidified trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 series. Trial production of the book-style foldable—featuring a minimized screen crease, improved hinge durability, and premium pricing near $2,000—began in early April, despite a slight mass production slip from June to August due to engineering tweaks. This progress counters earlier delay fears, aligning with Apple's pattern of late-cycle refinements seen in past hardware launches like the Vision Pro. Key catalysts ahead include summer yield validations and the fall event, though historical timeline slips leave room for minor shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$126,910Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman have solidified trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 series. Trial production of the book-style foldable—featuring a minimized screen crease, improved hinge durability, and premium pricing near $2,000—began in early April, despite a slight mass production slip from June to August due to engineering tweaks. This progress counters earlier delay fears, aligning with Apple's pattern of late-cycle refinements seen in past hardware launches like the Vision Pro. Key catalysts ahead include summer yield validations and the fall event, though historical timeline slips leave room for minor shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$126,910Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman have solidified trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 series. Trial production of the book-style foldable—featuring a minimized screen crease, improved hinge durability, and premium pricing near $2,000—began in early April, despite a slight mass production slip from June to August due to engineering tweaks. This progress counters earlier delay fears, aligning with Apple's pattern of late-cycle refinements seen in past hardware launches like the Vision Pro. Key catalysts ahead include summer yield validations and the fall event, though historical timeline slips leave room for minor shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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