Apple's long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone releases, combined with recent industry reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a new foldable model in fall 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders view this as a low-risk outcome given Apple's established supply chain and development cadence, even as the company shifts to a staggered schedule that pushes base iPhone 18 models into spring 2027. While near-certain consensus reflects reliable historical precedent, potential disruptions such as unexpected production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks in advanced features like under-display cameras could still alter timelines, though no such issues have surfaced in credible updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
Apple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
$111,652 Vol.
$111,652 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$111,652 Vol.
$111,652 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone releases, combined with recent industry reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a new foldable model in fall 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders view this as a low-risk outcome given Apple's established supply chain and development cadence, even as the company shifts to a staggered schedule that pushes base iPhone 18 models into spring 2027. While near-certain consensus reflects reliable historical precedent, potential disruptions such as unexpected production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks in advanced features like under-display cameras could still alter timelines, though no such issues have surfaced in credible updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$111,652Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone releases, combined with recent industry reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a new foldable model in fall 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders view this as a low-risk outcome given Apple's established supply chain and development cadence, even as the company shifts to a staggered schedule that pushes base iPhone 18 models into spring 2027. While near-certain consensus reflects reliable historical precedent, potential disruptions such as unexpected production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks in advanced features like under-display cameras could still alter timelines, though no such issues have surfaced in credible updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$111,652Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone releases, combined with recent industry reports confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launch alongside a new foldable model in fall 2026, underpins the 96.2% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders view this as a low-risk outcome given Apple's established supply chain and development cadence, even as the company shifts to a staggered schedule that pushes base iPhone 18 models into spring 2027. While near-certain consensus reflects reliable historical precedent, potential disruptions such as unexpected production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks in advanced features like under-display cameras could still alter timelines, though no such issues have surfaced in credible updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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