Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman highlights Apple pausing major development on a Vision Pro 2 mixed-reality headset to prioritize AI smart glasses, shifting any significant successor to 2028 or later. Earlier expectations for an M5 chip update in late 2025 or spring 2026 went unmet amid low sales of the original model and a pivot toward lighter form factors. This aligns with supply-chain analyses showing no active next-gen hardware pipeline before 2027, reinforcing trader consensus on the 93.5% implied probability for no release. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote and any surprise announcements, though realistic shifts would require accelerated production or strong new demand signals to alter the current outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
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31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman highlights Apple pausing major development on a Vision Pro 2 mixed-reality headset to prioritize AI smart glasses, shifting any significant successor to 2028 or later. Earlier expectations for an M5 chip update in late 2025 or spring 2026 went unmet amid low sales of the original model and a pivot toward lighter form factors. This aligns with supply-chain analyses showing no active next-gen hardware pipeline before 2027, reinforcing trader consensus on the 93.5% implied probability for no release. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote and any surprise announcements, though realistic shifts would require accelerated production or strong new demand signals to alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$4,469Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman highlights Apple pausing major development on a Vision Pro 2 mixed-reality headset to prioritize AI smart glasses, shifting any significant successor to 2028 or later. Earlier expectations for an M5 chip update in late 2025 or spring 2026 went unmet amid low sales of the original model and a pivot toward lighter form factors. This aligns with supply-chain analyses showing no active next-gen hardware pipeline before 2027, reinforcing trader consensus on the 93.5% implied probability for no release. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote and any surprise announcements, though realistic shifts would require accelerated production or strong new demand signals to alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,469Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman highlights Apple pausing major development on a Vision Pro 2 mixed-reality headset to prioritize AI smart glasses, shifting any significant successor to 2028 or later. Earlier expectations for an M5 chip update in late 2025 or spring 2026 went unmet amid low sales of the original model and a pivot toward lighter form factors. This aligns with supply-chain analyses showing no active next-gen hardware pipeline before 2027, reinforcing trader consensus on the 93.5% implied probability for no release. Key upcoming catalysts include Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote and any surprise announcements, though realistic shifts would require accelerated production or strong new demand signals to alter the current outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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