OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, leaving it short of the $1 trillion threshold amid continued heavy losses exceeding $38 billion in 2025 on roughly $13-25 billion in annualized revenue. Traders assign a 62% probability that the company misses a $1 trillion mark by year-end 2026, citing uncertain IPO timing—with reports pointing toward a likely 2027 debut—alongside competitive pressures from other large language model developers and questions over sustainable growth in AI capabilities and monetization. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed S-1 filing, GPT model updates, or shifts in profitability forecasts that could alter market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOpenAI $1T+ valutazione nel 2026?
OpenAI $1T+ valutazione nel 2026?
Sì
$26,742 Vol.
$26,742 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$26,742 Vol.
$26,742 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, leaving it short of the $1 trillion threshold amid continued heavy losses exceeding $38 billion in 2025 on roughly $13-25 billion in annualized revenue. Traders assign a 62% probability that the company misses a $1 trillion mark by year-end 2026, citing uncertain IPO timing—with reports pointing toward a likely 2027 debut—alongside competitive pressures from other large language model developers and questions over sustainable growth in AI capabilities and monetization. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed S-1 filing, GPT model updates, or shifts in profitability forecasts that could alter market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$26,742Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, leaving it short of the $1 trillion threshold amid continued heavy losses exceeding $38 billion in 2025 on roughly $13-25 billion in annualized revenue. Traders assign a 62% probability that the company misses a $1 trillion mark by year-end 2026, citing uncertain IPO timing—with reports pointing toward a likely 2027 debut—alongside competitive pressures from other large language model developers and questions over sustainable growth in AI capabilities and monetization. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed S-1 filing, GPT model updates, or shifts in profitability forecasts that could alter market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,742Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, leaving it short of the $1 trillion threshold amid continued heavy losses exceeding $38 billion in 2025 on roughly $13-25 billion in annualized revenue. Traders assign a 62% probability that the company misses a $1 trillion mark by year-end 2026, citing uncertain IPO timing—with reports pointing toward a likely 2027 debut—alongside competitive pressures from other large language model developers and questions over sustainable growth in AI capabilities and monetization. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed S-1 filing, GPT model updates, or shifts in profitability forecasts that could alter market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti