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Tecnologia·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Market icon
Tecnologia·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

53% probabilità
Polymarket

$17,041 Vol.

53% probabilità
Polymarket

$17,041 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus implies a 58.5% probability of surpassing $1 trillion valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its record-breaking March 31 funding round that raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private tech raise ever—from backers like Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank. Surging revenue nearing $24 billion annualized run rate, fueled by ChatGPT's 900 million weekly active users and tripling search engagement, underpins this momentum amid aggressive AI infrastructure scaling. Recent investor scrutiny, reported April 14, over profitability concerns ($14 billion projected 2026 burn), enterprise strategy shifts, and Anthropic's rising $380 billion valuation introduces caution, yet a late-2026 IPO targeting $1 trillion remains the pivotal catalyst for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,041
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus implies a 58.5% probability of surpassing $1 trillion valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its record-breaking March 31 funding round that raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private tech raise ever—from backers like Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank. Surging revenue nearing $24 billion annualized run rate, fueled by ChatGPT's 900 million weekly active users and tripling search engagement, underpins this momentum amid aggressive AI infrastructure scaling. Recent investor scrutiny, reported April 14, over profitability concerns ($14 billion projected 2026 burn), enterprise strategy shifts, and Anthropic's rising $380 billion valuation introduces caution, yet a late-2026 IPO targeting $1 trillion remains the pivotal catalyst for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,041
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 59% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 59¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" ha generato $17K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 29, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" è 59% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 59% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.