OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3 has intensified trader focus on potential removal from public access, driven by the model’s designation as the first to hit “Critical” cybersecurity capability under the company’s Preparedness Framework. This triggered phased rollout prioritizing enterprise and Daybreak Blue testers, stronger encryption, isolated testing, and restricted advanced exploit-generation features to mitigate misuse risks. Surging demand has already forced a pause on new $200 Pro signups, highlighting infrastructure strain, while reports of alignment issues and prior model containment failures add uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google models, plus upcoming safety evaluations and possible regulatory scrutiny, could accelerate restrictions if further incidents emerge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAstra rimosso dall'accesso pubblico da...?
Astra rimosso dall'accesso pubblico da...?
NUOVO
30 set 2026
30 settembre
5%
31 ottobre
42%
$36 Vol.
30 settembre
$36 Vol.
5%
31 ottobre
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3 has intensified trader focus on potential removal from public access, driven by the model’s designation as the first to hit “Critical” cybersecurity capability under the company’s Preparedness Framework. This triggered phased rollout prioritizing enterprise and Daybreak Blue testers, stronger encryption, isolated testing, and restricted advanced exploit-generation features to mitigate misuse risks. Surging demand has already forced a pause on new $200 Pro signups, highlighting infrastructure strain, while reports of alignment issues and prior model containment failures add uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google models, plus upcoming safety evaluations and possible regulatory scrutiny, could accelerate restrictions if further incidents emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$36Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3 has intensified trader focus on potential removal from public access, driven by the model’s designation as the first to hit “Critical” cybersecurity capability under the company’s Preparedness Framework. This triggered phased rollout prioritizing enterprise and Daybreak Blue testers, stronger encryption, isolated testing, and restricted advanced exploit-generation features to mitigate misuse risks. Surging demand has already forced a pause on new $200 Pro signups, highlighting infrastructure strain, while reports of alignment issues and prior model containment failures add uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google models, plus upcoming safety evaluations and possible regulatory scrutiny, could accelerate restrictions if further incidents emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$36Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3 has intensified trader focus on potential removal from public access, driven by the model’s designation as the first to hit “Critical” cybersecurity capability under the company’s Preparedness Framework. This triggered phased rollout prioritizing enterprise and Daybreak Blue testers, stronger encryption, isolated testing, and restricted advanced exploit-generation features to mitigate misuse risks. Surging demand has already forced a pause on new $200 Pro signups, highlighting infrastructure strain, while reports of alignment issues and prior model containment failures add uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google models, plus upcoming safety evaluations and possible regulatory scrutiny, could accelerate restrictions if further incidents emerge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il governo degli Stati Uniti rimuove l'accesso pubblico a un altro modello di intelligenza artificiale di Anthropic nel 2026?
11%
Sì
Il governo degli Stati Uniti rimuove l'accesso pubblico a un altro importante modello di intelligenza artificiale nel 2026?
10%
Sì
Il prossimo modello Astra (6.1+) verrà rilasciato entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
91%
Sì
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