Anthropic's release cadence for its smallest model has lagged behind higher-tier updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering since its October 2025 launch. Recent focus has centered on premium additions like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September 2026 plus Opus 5 in July, which deliver advanced coding and agentic capabilities at higher price points while Haiku 4.5 handles high-volume, cost-sensitive tasks at $1/$5 per million tokens. Prediction market-implied odds cluster around a mid-to-late October 2026 window, reflecting trader expectations of a refresh driven by competitive pressure from other labs' efficient models and typical annual Haiku cycles, though no official announcement or benchmark leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise feature expansions or developer conference hints that could accelerate a 4.6 or 5-series small model.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Haiku pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo Claude Haiku pubblicato da...?
NUOVO
15 ott 2026
15 ottobre
27%
31 ottobre
61%
31 dicembre
55%
$9,539 Vol.
15 ottobre
$241 Vol.
27%
31 ottobre
$987 Vol.
61%
31 dicembre
$4,559 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for its smallest model has lagged behind higher-tier updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering since its October 2025 launch. Recent focus has centered on premium additions like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September 2026 plus Opus 5 in July, which deliver advanced coding and agentic capabilities at higher price points while Haiku 4.5 handles high-volume, cost-sensitive tasks at $1/$5 per million tokens. Prediction market-implied odds cluster around a mid-to-late October 2026 window, reflecting trader expectations of a refresh driven by competitive pressure from other labs' efficient models and typical annual Haiku cycles, though no official announcement or benchmark leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise feature expansions or developer conference hints that could accelerate a 4.6 or 5-series small model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,539Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for its smallest model has lagged behind higher-tier updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering since its October 2025 launch. Recent focus has centered on premium additions like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September 2026 plus Opus 5 in July, which deliver advanced coding and agentic capabilities at higher price points while Haiku 4.5 handles high-volume, cost-sensitive tasks at $1/$5 per million tokens. Prediction market-implied odds cluster around a mid-to-late October 2026 window, reflecting trader expectations of a refresh driven by competitive pressure from other labs' efficient models and typical annual Haiku cycles, though no official announcement or benchmark leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise feature expansions or developer conference hints that could accelerate a 4.6 or 5-series small model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,539Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release cadence for its smallest model has lagged behind higher-tier updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering since its October 2025 launch. Recent focus has centered on premium additions like Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 in early September 2026 plus Opus 5 in July, which deliver advanced coding and agentic capabilities at higher price points while Haiku 4.5 handles high-volume, cost-sensitive tasks at $1/$5 per million tokens. Prediction market-implied odds cluster around a mid-to-late October 2026 window, reflecting trader expectations of a refresh driven by competitive pressure from other labs' efficient models and typical annual Haiku cycles, though no official announcement or benchmark leaks have surfaced yet. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise feature expansions or developer conference hints that could accelerate a 4.6 or 5-series small model.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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