Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (92.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—potentially the largest in history. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $8 billion annually, fueled by expanded satellite coverage and partnerships like US Mobile, alongside Starship V3 flight tests slated for late April, underscore the premium on reusable rocket dominance and broadband constellation scale. Private valuations have surged past $1.4 trillion, reflecting capital-intensive Mars ambitions and AI compute synergies. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, volatile equity markets, or Starship mishaps pushing timelines past 2028 (2.2% odds), though proximity to a mid-2026 debut minimizes near-term risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike più bassi)
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike più bassi)
Oltre 1.000 miliardi 93%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 2.2%
900B–1T 1.2%
<500 miliardi <1%
$3,042,703 Vol.
$3,042,703 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
<1%
500–600 miliardi
<1%
600–700 miliardi
<1%
700–800 miliardi
<1%
800–900 miliardi
<1%
900B–1T
1%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi
93%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
2%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi 93%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 2.2%
900B–1T 1.2%
<500 miliardi <1%
$3,042,703 Vol.
$3,042,703 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
$352,092 Vol.
<1%
500–600 miliardi
$279,595 Vol.
<1%
600–700 miliardi
$243,897 Vol.
<1%
700–800 miliardi
$275,628 Vol.
<1%
800–900 miliardi
$445,459 Vol.
<1%
900B–1T
$378,877 Vol.
1%
Oltre 1.000 miliardi
$542,112 Vol.
93%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$525,044 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (92.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—potentially the largest in history. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $8 billion annually, fueled by expanded satellite coverage and partnerships like US Mobile, alongside Starship V3 flight tests slated for late April, underscore the premium on reusable rocket dominance and broadband constellation scale. Private valuations have surged past $1.4 trillion, reflecting capital-intensive Mars ambitions and AI compute synergies. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, volatile equity markets, or Starship mishaps pushing timelines past 2028 (2.2% odds), though proximity to a mid-2026 debut minimizes near-term risks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$3,042,703Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (92.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—potentially the largest in history. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $8 billion annually, fueled by expanded satellite coverage and partnerships like US Mobile, alongside Starship V3 flight tests slated for late April, underscore the premium on reusable rocket dominance and broadband constellation scale. Private valuations have surged past $1.4 trillion, reflecting capital-intensive Mars ambitions and AI compute synergies. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, volatile equity markets, or Starship mishaps pushing timelines past 2028 (2.2% odds), though proximity to a mid-2026 debut minimizes near-term risks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$3,042,703Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (92.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing reported on April 1, 2026, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—potentially the largest in history. Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $8 billion annually, fueled by expanded satellite coverage and partnerships like US Mobile, alongside Starship V3 flight tests slated for late April, underscore the premium on reusable rocket dominance and broadband constellation scale. Private valuations have surged past $1.4 trillion, reflecting capital-intensive Mars ambitions and AI compute synergies. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, volatile equity markets, or Starship mishaps pushing timelines past 2028 (2.2% odds), though proximity to a mid-2026 debut minimizes near-term risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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