Borussia Dortmund's commanding 64.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their second-place Bundesliga standing after 29 matches (19-7-2 record) and elite home form at Signal Iduna Park (11 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), bolstered by a dominant head-to-head record over SC Freiburg (28 wins to 6 in 44 meetings). Recent developments include Dortmund's three straight Bundesliga victories despite injuries to key midfielder Felix Nmecha (knee, out until early May) and long-term absentee captain Emre Can (ACL), showcasing squad depth in the title race against leaders Bayern Munich. Freiburg, eighth in the table, holds competitive recent form (wins over Mainz and St. Pauli) but faces hurdles with midfielder Patrick Osterhage (knee) and defender Max Rosenfelder (hamstring) sidelined, tempering their 15.5% upset chance while draw pricing at 20.5% reflects past stalemates like December's 1-1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIf BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Borussia Dortmund's commanding 64.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their second-place Bundesliga standing after 29 matches (19-7-2 record) and elite home form at Signal Iduna Park (11 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), bolstered by a dominant head-to-head record over SC Freiburg (28 wins to 6 in 44 meetings). Recent developments include Dortmund's three straight Bundesliga victories despite injuries to key midfielder Felix Nmecha (knee, out until early May) and long-term absentee captain Emre Can (ACL), showcasing squad depth in the title race against leaders Bayern Munich. Freiburg, eighth in the table, holds competitive recent form (wins over Mainz and St. Pauli) but faces hurdles with midfielder Patrick Osterhage (knee) and defender Max Rosenfelder (hamstring) sidelined, tempering their 15.5% upset chance while draw pricing at 20.5% reflects past stalemates like December's 1-1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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