Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München as a 65% implied probability favorite against 1. FSV Mainz 05, driven by Bayern's atop-the-table Bundesliga position with 76 points from 29 matches and overwhelming head-to-head record (32 wins to Mainz's 8). Recent developments temper the edge: Bayern drew 2-2 at home versus Mainz in December, exposing vulnerabilities now amplified by injuries including Lennart Karl's hamstring tear and Serge Gnabry's knee issue amid a congested Champions League schedule. Mid-table Mainz (9th, 33 points) shows home resilience and recent Europa League success (2-0 over Strasbourg), but losses like 0-1 to Freiburg and absences (Jae-sung Lee out) limit upset chances, pricing a draw at 19%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIf 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München as a 65% implied probability favorite against 1. FSV Mainz 05, driven by Bayern's atop-the-table Bundesliga position with 76 points from 29 matches and overwhelming head-to-head record (32 wins to Mainz's 8). Recent developments temper the edge: Bayern drew 2-2 at home versus Mainz in December, exposing vulnerabilities now amplified by injuries including Lennart Karl's hamstring tear and Serge Gnabry's knee issue amid a congested Champions League schedule. Mid-table Mainz (9th, 33 points) shows home resilience and recent Europa League success (2-0 over Strasbourg), but losses like 0-1 to Freiburg and absences (Jae-sung Lee out) limit upset chances, pricing a draw at 19%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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