Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$127,441 Vol.
90 dollari
52%
85 dollari
60%
80 $
67%
75 $
82%
70$
91%
65$
92%
$63
95%
$60
95%
56 dollari
96%
$55
98%
$52
99%
50 dollari
99%
$127,441 Vol.
90 dollari
52%
85 dollari
60%
80 $
67%
75 $
82%
70$
91%
65$
92%
$63
95%
$60
95%
56 dollari
96%
$55
98%
$52
99%
50 dollari
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti