Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
Petrolio greggio (CL) sopra ___ fine giugno?
$129,858 Vol.
30 giu 2026
90 dollari
57%
85 dollari
60%
80 $
67%
75 $
82%
70$
92%
65$
92%
$63
95%
$60
98%
56 dollari
98%
$55
98%
$52
99%
50 dollari
99%
$129,858 Vol.
90 dollari
$25,987 Vol.
57%
85 dollari
$5,879 Vol.
60%
80 $
$5,954 Vol.
67%
75 $
$16,769 Vol.
82%
70$
$19,629 Vol.
92%
65$
$872 Vol.
92%
$63
$8,987 Vol.
95%
$60
$23,485 Vol.
98%
56 dollari
$4,950 Vol.
98%
$55
$2,914 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
99%
50 dollari
$8,100 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$129,858Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$129,858Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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