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Sport·Ciclismo

Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore

icon for Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore
Sport·Ciclismo

Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore

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Tadej Pogacar 89%

Tobias Lund Andresen 5.9%

Sam Welsford 5.7%

Pello Bilbao 5.1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Tadej Pogacar 89%

Tobias Lund Andresen 5.9%

Sam Welsford 5.7%

Pello Bilbao 5.1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Tadej Pogacar

$2,398 Vol.

89%

Tobias Lund Andresen

$35 Vol.

6%

Sam Welsford

$35 Vol.

6%

Pello Bilbao

$35 Vol.

5%

Christian Scaroni

$35 Vol.

5%

Christophe Laporte

$35 Vol.

5%

Thomas Pidcock

$35 Vol.

5%

Mauro Schmid

$35 Vol.

5%

Ben Tulett

$35 Vol.

5%

Remco Evenepoel

$35 Vol.

5%

Jasper Philipsen

$35 Vol.

5%

Tobias Johannessen

$35 Vol.

5%

Lenny Martinez

$35 Vol.

5%

Jonathan Milan

$35 Vol.

5%

Felix Gall

$35 Vol.

5%

Romain Gregoire

$35 Vol.

5%

Juan Ayuso

$35 Vol.

5%

Mattias Skjelmose

$35 Vol.

4%

Florian Lipowitz

$35 Vol.

4%

Richard Carapaz

$35 Vol.

4%

Jasper Stuyven

$35 Vol.

4%

Laurence Pithie

$35 Vol.

4%

Mathieu van der Poel

$35 Vol.

4%

Mads Pedersen

$35 Vol.

4%

Jonas Vingegaard

$35 Vol.

2%

Paul Seixas

$35 Vol.

<1%

Wout van Aert

$35 Vol.

5%

Isaac Del Toro

$35 Vol.

6%

Brady Gilmore

$35 Vol.

5%

Florian Vermeersch

$35 Vol.

5%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s confirmed participation in the 2026 Vuelta a España, fresh off his fifth Tour de France victory, underpins the 89% implied probability traders assign him. The Slovenian’s sustained dominance—marked by repeated Grand Tour wins, UCI ranking leadership, and stage-race invincibility since 2023—positions him to chase the missing Grand Tour in a route featuring mountain stages and time trials that align with his strengths. UAE Team Emirates-XRG support further cements his status. Realistic challenges include illness, crashes, or unexpected form from climbers such as Felix Gall or Mattias Skjelmose, though such outcomes remain low-probability given Pogacar’s current trajectory.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$3,412
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s confirmed participation in the 2026 Vuelta a España, fresh off his fifth Tour de France victory, underpins the 89% implied probability traders assign him. The Slovenian’s sustained dominance—marked by repeated Grand Tour wins, UCI ranking leadership, and stage-race invincibility since 2023—positions him to chase the missing Grand Tour in a route featuring mountain stages and time trials that align with his strengths. UAE Team Emirates-XRG support further cements his status. Realistic challenges include illness, crashes, or unexpected form from climbers such as Felix Gall or Mattias Skjelmose, though such outcomes remain low-probability given Pogacar’s current trajectory.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$3,412
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 30 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Tadej Pogacar" a 89%, seguito da "Tobias Lund Andresen" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 8, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore", esplora i 30 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore" è "Tadej Pogacar" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tobias Lund Andresen" a 6%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vuelta a Espana 2026: Vincitore" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.