The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds an overwhelming 88.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market, driven by its record nine Emmy nominations announced in July—including nods for directing, production design, and choreography—plus strong critical and audience reception for the historic, Spanish-language performance that drew over 128 million viewers. This edges out the Oscars at 6.1%, which benefits from consistent prestige but lacks comparable recent momentum, while the Tonys, Grammys, and Golden Globes trail with under 3% each amid standard awards-show competition. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 Emmys telecast, traders are pricing in the halftime show's clear frontrunner edge based on scale, innovation, and guild-level recognition patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: Speciale varietà eccezionale (dal vivo)
Emmy 2026: Speciale varietà eccezionale (dal vivo)
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny 88.8%
Gli Oscar 6.1%
I Tony 2.1%
I Grammy <1%
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
14 set 2026
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny
89%
Gli Oscar
6%
I Tony
2%
I Grammy
1%
I Golden Globe
1%
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny 88.8%
Gli Oscar 6.1%
I Tony 2.1%
I Grammy <1%
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
14 set 2026
Lo spettacolo dell'intervallo del Super Bowl LX con protagonista Bad Bunny
$48,298 Vol.
89%
Gli Oscar
$6,936 Vol.
6%
I Tony
$2,152 Vol.
2%
I Grammy
$1,790 Vol.
1%
I Golden Globe
$2,085 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds an overwhelming 88.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market, driven by its record nine Emmy nominations announced in July—including nods for directing, production design, and choreography—plus strong critical and audience reception for the historic, Spanish-language performance that drew over 128 million viewers. This edges out the Oscars at 6.1%, which benefits from consistent prestige but lacks comparable recent momentum, while the Tonys, Grammys, and Golden Globes trail with under 3% each amid standard awards-show competition. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 Emmys telecast, traders are pricing in the halftime show's clear frontrunner edge based on scale, innovation, and guild-level recognition patterns.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$61,261Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds an overwhelming 88.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market, driven by its record nine Emmy nominations announced in July—including nods for directing, production design, and choreography—plus strong critical and audience reception for the historic, Spanish-language performance that drew over 128 million viewers. This edges out the Oscars at 6.1%, which benefits from consistent prestige but lacks comparable recent momentum, while the Tonys, Grammys, and Golden Globes trail with under 3% each amid standard awards-show competition. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 Emmys telecast, traders are pricing in the halftime show's clear frontrunner edge based on scale, innovation, and guild-level recognition patterns.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,261Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny holds an overwhelming 88.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Variety Special (Live) market, driven by its record nine Emmy nominations announced in July—including nods for directing, production design, and choreography—plus strong critical and audience reception for the historic, Spanish-language performance that drew over 128 million viewers. This edges out the Oscars at 6.1%, which benefits from consistent prestige but lacks comparable recent momentum, while the Tonys, Grammys, and Golden Globes trail with under 3% each amid standard awards-show competition. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 Emmys telecast, traders are pricing in the halftime show's clear frontrunner edge based on scale, innovation, and guild-level recognition patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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