Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the narrow frontrunner for last place at 26.5% implied probability, driven by the BBC's bold selection of experimental electronic artist Look Mum No Computer and "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—a quirky synth-pop track built on toy instruments like Furbys—which risks jury dismissal despite potential televote novelty amid the UK's persistent "curse" of bottom-tier finishes. Austria trails closely at 20.5%, as host nation entry COSMÓ's "Tanzschein" won its February national final but has drawn vocal coach critiques and lukewarm pre-party reactions for lacking broad appeal. Latvia's Atvara with moody ballad "Ēnā" (fresh acoustic version released April 13) sits third, hampered by niche Baltic staging risks. With semis on May 12-14, live rehearsals and jury-televote splits will be decisive swing factors in this tight contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
Austria 21%
Regno Unito 20%
Germania 10%
Lussemburgo 7.9%
$56,773 Vol.
$56,773 Vol.
Austria
21%
Regno Unito
27%
Germania
10%
Lussemburgo
7%
Polonia
7%
Cipro
6%
Malta
6%
Georgia
6%
Albania
5%
San Marino
5%
Danimarca
5%
Azerbaigian
4%
Belgio
4%
Italia
4%
Montenegro
4%
Armenia
3%
Portogallo
3%
Moldavia
3%
Cechia
3%
Serbia
3%
Australia
3%
Bulgaria
2%
Croazia
2%
Estonia
8%
Lettonia
12%
Israele
2%
Romania
2%
Lituania
2%
Grecia
1%
Svizzera
9%
Francia
1%
Norvegia
6%
Svezia
1%
Ucraina
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Austria 21%
Regno Unito 20%
Germania 10%
Lussemburgo 7.9%
$56,773 Vol.
$56,773 Vol.
Austria
21%
Regno Unito
27%
Germania
10%
Lussemburgo
7%
Polonia
7%
Cipro
6%
Malta
6%
Georgia
6%
Albania
5%
San Marino
5%
Danimarca
5%
Azerbaigian
4%
Belgio
4%
Italia
4%
Montenegro
4%
Armenia
3%
Portogallo
3%
Moldavia
3%
Cechia
3%
Serbia
3%
Australia
3%
Bulgaria
2%
Croazia
2%
Estonia
8%
Lettonia
12%
Israele
2%
Romania
2%
Lituania
2%
Grecia
1%
Svizzera
9%
Francia
1%
Norvegia
6%
Svezia
1%
Ucraina
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the narrow frontrunner for last place at 26.5% implied probability, driven by the BBC's bold selection of experimental electronic artist Look Mum No Computer and "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—a quirky synth-pop track built on toy instruments like Furbys—which risks jury dismissal despite potential televote novelty amid the UK's persistent "curse" of bottom-tier finishes. Austria trails closely at 20.5%, as host nation entry COSMÓ's "Tanzschein" won its February national final but has drawn vocal coach critiques and lukewarm pre-party reactions for lacking broad appeal. Latvia's Atvara with moody ballad "Ēnā" (fresh acoustic version released April 13) sits third, hampered by niche Baltic staging risks. With semis on May 12-14, live rehearsals and jury-televote splits will be decisive swing factors in this tight contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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