Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, deep squad with stars like Frenkie de Jong and Virgil van Dijk, and strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as clear frontrunners ahead of the June 14 kickoff. Japan's 28% share stems from their proven group-stage prowess, including topping a tough group in 2022 with upsets over Germany and Spain, bolstered by consistent AFC dominance and youthful talent. Sweden's inclusion at 13.5% (via Path B playoffs) follows their dramatic March 31 qualification—3-1 over Ukraine and a 3-2 thriller against Poland via Viktor Gyökeres' late winner—providing momentum despite a shaky group stage finish. Tunisia lags at 4%, hampered by No. 44 ranking and modest recent form.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPaesi Bassi 54%
Giappone 28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.0%
$78,423 Vol.
$78,423 Vol.
Paesi Bassi
54%
Giappone
28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
Paesi Bassi 54%
Giappone 28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.0%
$78,423 Vol.
$78,423 Vol.
Paesi Bassi
54%
Giappone
28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, deep squad with stars like Frenkie de Jong and Virgil van Dijk, and strong UEFA qualifying campaign, positioning them as clear frontrunners ahead of the June 14 kickoff. Japan's 28% share stems from their proven group-stage prowess, including topping a tough group in 2022 with upsets over Germany and Spain, bolstered by consistent AFC dominance and youthful talent. Sweden's inclusion at 13.5% (via Path B playoffs) follows their dramatic March 31 qualification—3-1 over Ukraine and a 3-2 thriller against Poland via Viktor Gyökeres' late winner—providing momentum despite a shaky group stage finish. Tunisia lags at 4%, hampered by No. 44 ranking and modest recent form.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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