Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their No. 5 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and squad depth with Virgil van Dijk anchoring defense alongside midfield maestros Frenkie de Jong and Joey Veerman. Japan's 27% share stems from impressive recent form, including a shock 1-0 friendly victory over England that showcased tactical discipline and counterattacking threat from Kaoru Mitoma and Takefusa Kubo. Sweden's March 31 playoff triumph over Poland via Viktor Gyökeres' late winner secured their spot but was tempered by key midfielder Lundgren's Achilles injury on April 7, limiting the bundled ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome to 13.5%. Tunisia trails at 4.2%, constrained by their defensive setup against elite attacks in the expanded group stage where top two plus best third advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNetherlands 54%
Japan 27%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.2%
$78,308 Vol.
$78,308 Vol.
Netherlands
54%
Japan
27%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
Netherlands 54%
Japan 27%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.2%
$78,308 Vol.
$78,308 Vol.
Netherlands
54%
Japan
27%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their No. 5 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and squad depth with Virgil van Dijk anchoring defense alongside midfield maestros Frenkie de Jong and Joey Veerman. Japan's 27% share stems from impressive recent form, including a shock 1-0 friendly victory over England that showcased tactical discipline and counterattacking threat from Kaoru Mitoma and Takefusa Kubo. Sweden's March 31 playoff triumph over Poland via Viktor Gyökeres' late winner secured their spot but was tempered by key midfielder Lundgren's Achilles injury on April 7, limiting the bundled ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome to 13.5%. Tunisia trails at 4.2%, constrained by their defensive setup against elite attacks in the expanded group stage where top two plus best third advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti