France enters as the clear trader consensus favorite to win Group I at 70% implied probability, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's peak form, defensive solidity with Saliba and Upamecano, and a dominant qualifying campaign, despite Liverpool striker Hugo Ekitike's recent season-ending Achilles injury which squad depth mitigates. Norway's 25% pricing reflects Erling Haaland's return to full-contact training this week, enhancing their counter-attacking threat and ending a 28-year World Cup absence on a high after topping qualifiers. Senegal at 5.5% shows competitive African champions' momentum from Sadio Mané's leadership and set-piece focus in New Jersey camps, but faces steep odds against elite seeds. Iraq, confirmed via playoffs over Bolivia/Suriname contenders, trails as the youthful underdog with limited experience since 1986.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 70%
Norvegia 25%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
Francia
70%
Norvegia
25%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
Francia 70%
Norvegia 25%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
Francia
70%
Norvegia
25%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters as the clear trader consensus favorite to win Group I at 70% implied probability, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's peak form, defensive solidity with Saliba and Upamecano, and a dominant qualifying campaign, despite Liverpool striker Hugo Ekitike's recent season-ending Achilles injury which squad depth mitigates. Norway's 25% pricing reflects Erling Haaland's return to full-contact training this week, enhancing their counter-attacking threat and ending a 28-year World Cup absence on a high after topping qualifiers. Senegal at 5.5% shows competitive African champions' momentum from Sadio Mané's leadership and set-piece focus in New Jersey camps, but faces steep odds against elite seeds. Iraq, confirmed via playoffs over Bolivia/Suriname contenders, trails as the youthful underdog with limited experience since 1986.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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