France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 71%
Norvegia 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
71%
Norvegia
24%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
Francia 71%
Norvegia 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
$42,192 Vol.
71%
Norvegia
$11,338 Vol.
24%
Senegal
$13,099 Vol.
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$41,397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$108,026Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,026Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France commands a 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, fueled by their 2022 final pedigree, dominant qualifying campaign led by Kylian Mbappé's nine goals and five assists, and unmatched squad depth despite Hugo Ekitike's season-ending Achilles rupture announced April 15. Norway trails at 23.5%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's full-contact training return that day after injury concerns, positioning the 1998 returnees as potent challengers with explosive counterattacks. Senegal's 6% reflects Sadio Mané's qualifying dominance (five goals, three assists) and recent set-piece drills, while Iraq's 0.3% underscores their youthful playoff triumph as long-shot dark horses. Trader consensus anticipates top-two advancement for France and Norway amid favorable head-to-head histories and rest advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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