France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, reflecting trader consensus on their unmatched squad depth with Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and emerging talents like Désiré Doué, bolstered by recent pre-World Cup friendlies victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1) in late March that showcased attacking fluency and defensive resilience. Norway trails at 23.5%, propelled by Erling Haaland's lethal finishing—evident in his dominant qualification haul—and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though coach Ståle Solbakken's load management has rested the striker for select Nations League games to ensure peak fitness. Senegal's 6% share underscores their physicality and counterattacking threat but highlights the daunting task against European powerhouses, with Iraq and others negligible at 0.3% amid vast talent gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 71%
Norvegia 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
71%
Norvegia
24%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
Francia 71%
Norvegia 24%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,026 Vol.
$108,026 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
$42,192 Vol.
71%
Norvegia
$11,338 Vol.
24%
Senegal
$13,099 Vol.
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$41,397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, reflecting trader consensus on their unmatched squad depth with Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and emerging talents like Désiré Doué, bolstered by recent pre-World Cup friendlies victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1) in late March that showcased attacking fluency and defensive resilience. Norway trails at 23.5%, propelled by Erling Haaland's lethal finishing—evident in his dominant qualification haul—and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though coach Ståle Solbakken's load management has rested the striker for select Nations League games to ensure peak fitness. Senegal's 6% share underscores their physicality and counterattacking threat but highlights the daunting task against European powerhouses, with Iraq and others negligible at 0.3% amid vast talent gaps.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$108,026Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, reflecting trader consensus on their unmatched squad depth with Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and emerging talents like Désiré Doué, bolstered by recent pre-World Cup friendlies victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1) in late March that showcased attacking fluency and defensive resilience. Norway trails at 23.5%, propelled by Erling Haaland's lethal finishing—evident in his dominant qualification haul—and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though coach Ståle Solbakken's load management has rested the striker for select Nations League games to ensure peak fitness. Senegal's 6% share underscores their physicality and counterattacking threat but highlights the daunting task against European powerhouses, with Iraq and others negligible at 0.3% amid vast talent gaps.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,026Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as Group I winner, reflecting trader consensus on their unmatched squad depth with Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and emerging talents like Désiré Doué, bolstered by recent pre-World Cup friendlies victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia (3-1) in late March that showcased attacking fluency and defensive resilience. Norway trails at 23.5%, propelled by Erling Haaland's lethal finishing—evident in his dominant qualification haul—and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though coach Ståle Solbakken's load management has rested the striker for select Nations League games to ensure peak fitness. Senegal's 6% share underscores their physicality and counterattacking threat but highlights the daunting task against European powerhouses, with Iraq and others negligible at 0.3% amid vast talent gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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