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Politica·House Primary

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·House Primary

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 86%

Gregg Poole 9%

Sam Couvillon 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Andrew Clyde 86%

Gregg Poole 9%

Sam Couvillon 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Andrew Clyde

$335 Vol.

86%

Gregg Poole

$4,246 Vol.

9%

Sam Couvillon

$121 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 87.5% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner in safely GOP GA-09 ahead of the May 19 vote, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 90% of the time absent scandals or Trump opposition. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (9%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (4.5%) participated in a March 23 GOP debate hosted by local media, highlighting contrasts on issues like border security and economic policy, but no post-debate polls or endorsements have emerged to signal momentum shifts. With early voting approaching and no recent catalysts, traders see low upset risk barring late-breaking developments like legal issues or voter turnout surges among challenger bases.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,703
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 87.5% trader consensus as the Republican primary winner in safely GOP GA-09 ahead of the May 19 vote, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and historical base rates where congressional incumbents win renomination over 90% of the time absent scandals or Trump opposition. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (9%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (4.5%) participated in a March 23 GOP debate hosted by local media, highlighting contrasts on issues like border security and economic policy, but no post-debate polls or endorsements have emerged to signal momentum shifts. With early voting approaching and no recent catalysts, traders see low upset risk barring late-breaking developments like legal issues or voter turnout surges among challenger bases.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,703
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andrew Clyde" a 86%, seguito da "Sam Couvillon" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 86¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 20, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" è "Andrew Clyde" a 86%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sam Couvillon" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.