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Politica·Primarie

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 45%

Jim Schwartzel 16.7%

Madison Cawthorn 16.1%

Jim Oberweis 9.3%

Polymarket

$20,781 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 45%

Jim Schwartzel 16.7%

Madison Cawthorn 16.1%

Jim Oberweis 9.3%

Polymarket

$20,781 Vol.

Catalina Lauf

$15,702 Vol.

45%

Jim Schwartzel

$118 Vol.

17%

Madison Cawthorn

$1,265 Vol.

16%

Jim Oberweis

$2,256 Vol.

9%

Bob Rommel

$792 Vol.

2%

Spencer Roach

$647 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability in the crowded FL-19 Republican primary following her strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000 announced this week, outpacing rivals and bolstered by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's February endorsement, positioning her as the momentum favorite for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Local media executive Jim Schwartzel holds 17% with $1.28 million cash on hand entering the year, while former Rep. Madison Cawthorn garners 16% on name recognition despite past controversies and mixed GOP reception, aided by endorsements like dropped candidate Johnny Fratto's. Illinois businessman Jim Oberweis sits at 9% backed by nearly $3 million in funds. With the April 24 filing deadline nearing and August 18 primary ahead in this safe Republican district, no public polls exist but recent financial disclosures and carpetbagger critiques drive the fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,781
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability in the crowded FL-19 Republican primary following her strong Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000 announced this week, outpacing rivals and bolstered by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's February endorsement, positioning her as the momentum favorite for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Local media executive Jim Schwartzel holds 17% with $1.28 million cash on hand entering the year, while former Rep. Madison Cawthorn garners 16% on name recognition despite past controversies and mixed GOP reception, aided by endorsements like dropped candidate Johnny Fratto's. Illinois businessman Jim Oberweis sits at 9% backed by nearly $3 million in funds. With the April 24 filing deadline nearing and August 18 primary ahead in this safe Republican district, no public polls exist but recent financial disclosures and carpetbagger critiques drive the fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,781
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Catalina Lauf" a 46%, seguito da "Jim Schwartzel" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $20.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" è "Catalina Lauf" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jim Schwartzel" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.