The strong trader consensus against Trump leaving office before 2027 stems from the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal, including successful impeachment by the House and conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Republicans maintain majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections, limiting prospects for bipartisan support on such steps. No formal proceedings or widespread cabinet actions have advanced as of August 2026, and no major health or legal developments have shifted the landscape. Historical patterns show early exits remain rare without extraordinary events, with the 2026 midterms viewed as the next potential inflection point rather than an immediate catalyst for change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$10,380,641 Vol.
$10,380,641 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$10,380,641 Vol.
$10,380,641 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus against Trump leaving office before 2027 stems from the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal, including successful impeachment by the House and conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Republicans maintain majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections, limiting prospects for bipartisan support on such steps. No formal proceedings or widespread cabinet actions have advanced as of August 2026, and no major health or legal developments have shifted the landscape. Historical patterns show early exits remain rare without extraordinary events, with the 2026 midterms viewed as the next potential inflection point rather than an immediate catalyst for change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,380,641Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus against Trump leaving office before 2027 stems from the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal, including successful impeachment by the House and conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Republicans maintain majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections, limiting prospects for bipartisan support on such steps. No formal proceedings or widespread cabinet actions have advanced as of August 2026, and no major health or legal developments have shifted the landscape. Historical patterns show early exits remain rare without extraordinary events, with the 2026 midterms viewed as the next potential inflection point rather than an immediate catalyst for change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,380,641Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus against Trump leaving office before 2027 stems from the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal, including successful impeachment by the House and conviction by a two-thirds Senate vote or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Republicans maintain majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections, limiting prospects for bipartisan support on such steps. No formal proceedings or widespread cabinet actions have advanced as of August 2026, and no major health or legal developments have shifted the landscape. Historical patterns show early exits remain rare without extraordinary events, with the 2026 midterms viewed as the next potential inflection point rather than an immediate catalyst for change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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