Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment efforts, including those tied to the April 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Cabinet or vice-presidential action under the amendment has not materialized despite public calls from opposition lawmakers and advocacy groups. Trump's approval ratings have hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid policy debates, yet no bipartisan consensus or institutional pressure has emerged for early departure. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control, but any resulting proceedings would likely extend beyond the 2027 threshold. These structural and procedural barriers underpin trader consensus that removal before 2027 remains improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$10,378,140 Vol.
$10,378,140 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$10,378,140 Vol.
$10,378,140 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment efforts, including those tied to the April 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Cabinet or vice-presidential action under the amendment has not materialized despite public calls from opposition lawmakers and advocacy groups. Trump's approval ratings have hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid policy debates, yet no bipartisan consensus or institutional pressure has emerged for early departure. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control, but any resulting proceedings would likely extend beyond the 2027 threshold. These structural and procedural barriers underpin trader consensus that removal before 2027 remains improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,378,140Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment efforts, including those tied to the April 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Cabinet or vice-presidential action under the amendment has not materialized despite public calls from opposition lawmakers and advocacy groups. Trump's approval ratings have hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid policy debates, yet no bipartisan consensus or institutional pressure has emerged for early departure. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control, but any resulting proceedings would likely extend beyond the 2027 threshold. These structural and procedural barriers underpin trader consensus that removal before 2027 remains improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,378,140Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment efforts, including those tied to the April 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Cabinet or vice-presidential action under the amendment has not materialized despite public calls from opposition lawmakers and advocacy groups. Trump's approval ratings have hovered in the mid-to-high 30s amid policy debates, yet no bipartisan consensus or institutional pressure has emerged for early departure. Midterm elections in November 2026 could shift House control, but any resulting proceedings would likely extend beyond the 2027 threshold. These structural and procedural barriers underpin trader consensus that removal before 2027 remains improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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