Despite recent Democratic-led calls for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment—triggered by President Trump's April threats to escalate against Iran—traders price an 83.5% chance he remains in office through 2026, viewing these efforts as long-shot partisan maneuvers lacking Republican support in Congress or Cabinet backing required for removal. No public indications of resignation, health issues, or 25th Amendment activation have emerged, with historical precedents like prior impeachments failing conviction due to Senate supermajority barriers. Counter-developments, such as DNI Tulsi Gabbard's April 16 criminal referrals targeting figures from Trump's 2019 impeachment, further reinforce stability. Upcoming congressional votes on related bills pose minimal risk given GOP control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$7,029,945 Vol.
$7,029,945 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$7,029,945 Vol.
$7,029,945 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic-led calls for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment—triggered by President Trump's April threats to escalate against Iran—traders price an 83.5% chance he remains in office through 2026, viewing these efforts as long-shot partisan maneuvers lacking Republican support in Congress or Cabinet backing required for removal. No public indications of resignation, health issues, or 25th Amendment activation have emerged, with historical precedents like prior impeachments failing conviction due to Senate supermajority barriers. Counter-developments, such as DNI Tulsi Gabbard's April 16 criminal referrals targeting figures from Trump's 2019 impeachment, further reinforce stability. Upcoming congressional votes on related bills pose minimal risk given GOP control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,029,945Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic-led calls for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment—triggered by President Trump's April threats to escalate against Iran—traders price an 83.5% chance he remains in office through 2026, viewing these efforts as long-shot partisan maneuvers lacking Republican support in Congress or Cabinet backing required for removal. No public indications of resignation, health issues, or 25th Amendment activation have emerged, with historical precedents like prior impeachments failing conviction due to Senate supermajority barriers. Counter-developments, such as DNI Tulsi Gabbard's April 16 criminal referrals targeting figures from Trump's 2019 impeachment, further reinforce stability. Upcoming congressional votes on related bills pose minimal risk given GOP control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,029,945Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent Democratic-led calls for impeachment and invocation of the 25th Amendment—triggered by President Trump's April threats to escalate against Iran—traders price an 83.5% chance he remains in office through 2026, viewing these efforts as long-shot partisan maneuvers lacking Republican support in Congress or Cabinet backing required for removal. No public indications of resignation, health issues, or 25th Amendment activation have emerged, with historical precedents like prior impeachments failing conviction due to Senate supermajority barriers. Counter-developments, such as DNI Tulsi Gabbard's April 16 criminal referrals targeting figures from Trump's 2019 impeachment, further reinforce stability. Upcoming congressional votes on related bills pose minimal risk given GOP control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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